NFL futures: Season-long passing yards bets to make

It's time we traverse down another futures market as we await training camp to begin in the NFL, and luckily, there's no shortage of options.

We have season-long numbers up for most every player, both for their yardage and total touchdowns. Sounds to us like a fun new series to begin.

When you consider a market like this, do know that the numbers and data suggest pocketing more unders than overs, despite our innate desire to root for things happening. In a league like the NFL, injuries are just so prominent, skewing these markets and having the unders as the tried and true more consistent option.

That doesn't mean we'll only be betting unders, but we will aim to favor them as much as we can. We start at the top with passing yards.

Josh Allen over 3700.5 passing yards (-110 DraftKings)

We do love the value here on Josh Allen going over this passing yards threshold. We think we've officially met an overreaction threshold on Allen and his outlook for 2024.

Yes, the Bills lost Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, the two leading receivers by a sizable chunk. Their absence should not discount the fact that Allen has entrenched himself as one of the league's best quarterbacks.

Buffalo will aim to replace Diggs's and Davis's contributions in the aggregate, leaning more on second-year tight end Dalton Kincaid, rookie WR Keon Coleman, plus new additions Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mack Hollins and Chase Claypool — along with returning WR Khalil Shakir.

It's not a bad group, and Allen should be able to elevate the offense and spread the ball around effectively.

Allen has thrown for 4,280+ yards in four straight seasons, and here we are, getting a nearly 600-yard discount on another big year.