NFL player prop bets for Week 10 and beyond

The Carolina Panthers may have struck first in Thursday night's clash with the Steelers, but Pittsburgh struck second, third, fourth, fifth, seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth. That's not hyperbole. Ben Roethlisberger passed for 328 yards and five touchdowns as his Steelers dropped 52 points on a red-hot Panthers squad. 

Pittsburgh thus sending a message to the rest of the AFC that they're not done yet. They still trail the Chargers, Patriots and Chiefs in the conference standings and Kansas City is where we'll kick off our Week 10 NFL prop bet rundown.

Odds: Yes (+300) | No (-500)

The Chiefs opened as 16 1/2-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals. That spread has grown to -17 as some sportsbooks. Earlier this season, the Cards were 11-point underdogs to the Los Angeles Rams and lost 34-0. However, that was when Sam Bradford was still the team's starter. Does Josh Rosen improve their chances to keep Week 10's matchup within the 30-point range? Kansas City is averaging 36 points per game. Arizona is averaging 14 points per game over the past three contests. All it takes to cover 30 points are some late-4th quarter garbage time touchdowns.

Bet: No (but it'll be 20-25)

Odds: Yes (-125) | No (+105)

On top of their 8-1 record, the Chiefs have somehow won the coin flip in each of their first nine games and, oh yeah, their final three preseason games, too. So, 12 consecutive coin flips have gone in Kansas City's favor. According to a Kansas City Star report, the chances of that happening are 0.0244 percent.

For that streak to snap, I'm getting better than EVEN odds. I'll be the wet blanket.

The Bet: No 

Odds: Over 4.5 (-120) | Under 4.5 (-120)

Coming out their BYE, the Eagles have a new shiny toy to feature on offense. Golden Tate was traded by the Detroit Lions at the deadline and adds some much needed depth to Carson Wentz's receiving corps. Before the trade, Tate had caught five-or-more passes in six of seven games as a member of the Lions. Philadelphia didn't trade for Tate to become a decoy and with more than a week to get him acclimated to the offense, look for him to see 10-or-more targets. Heck, Amari Cooper caught five passes in his Cowboys debut. Tate will do the same.

The Bet: OVER

Odds: Yes (+250) | No (-400)

This is a very tall task because now that the Rams have lost their first game and the thought of an unblemished record is a distant memory, what-if Gurley doesn't play Week 17? What-if the Rams want to keep their star player healthy for what should be a deep postseason run? To his credit, Gurley has scored nearly two touchdowns per game, 16 through nine weeks, but to keep this pace up through Week 17 seems unlikely for the 2018 NFL MVP front runner.

The Bet: No.

Odds: Yes (-350) | No (+225)

This prop bet at -350 assumes a few things:

1) The Dallas defense is not elite and is weaker now that Sean Lee is going to miss another stretch of time.

2) That Carson Wentz - who has averaged 2.2 touchdowns per game - is going to throw one touchdown pass against the Cowboys.

3) That Carson Wentz - who has thrown two interceptions in six games - is provided a mulligan in the event that he tosses a pick Week 10.

Even with the bet $350-to-win-$100 juice, I like this bet.

The Bet: Yes

Odds: Yes (+450) | No (-850)

Arians called the Chiefs vs. Browns game in Cleveland Week 9 and was asked by a local reporter if he would ever return to coaching. His response was that Cleveland would be the only job he would consider.

Cleveland's interim head coach and defensive coordinator Gregg Williams is not a long-term head coaching option. Arians isn't suited for a long-term broadcasting career. This will be general manager John Dorsey's call to make and with Williams guiding the defense in the right direction, a lot of people believe Cleveland makes a run at Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels who would help mentor Baker Mayfield and help the Browns offense take those next steps.

The Bet: No

Favorites Odds: Raiders (+125) | Cardinals (+400) | 49ers (+450)

After Oakland allowed Nick Mullens, an undrafted free agent making his NFL debut in year two, to carve their defense up for 262 pass yards and three touchdowns, one gets the sense that the Raiders have quit on the 2018 regular season and look forward to a reboot at some point in the future.

The Bet: Raiders

Odds: Over 0.5 (-1200) | Under 0.5 (+600)

Ouch. The Bills and Jets have feelings, too. Granted, there is some veiled respect within the prop bet in that oddsmakers believe, between the two of them, the Jets and Bills can score at least one offensive touchdown. Last week, the Bears picked off Nathan Peterman three times and held the Bills to a field goal and fourth quarter touchdown. The Jets were held to two field goals by the Miami Dolphins.

Both teams are understaffed on offense, but between the two of them, one offensive touchdown will be scored.

Bet: OVER

Odds: Bucs Starting QB (-175) | Bucs Backup QB (+1100) | Any Other Team Starting QB (+250) | Any Other Team Backup QB (+400) | Not on NFL Roster (+900)

The short answer is it's way too early to give up on Jameis Winston as an NFL quarterback. Second, where he is next season depends on what happens to head coach Dirk Koetter, right? If he remains as head coach into the 2019 regular season, Winston will probably remain in Tampa Bay. If he's fired, Winston's landing spot could change.

While I don't think Koetter survives this season, I don't think Winston's NFL story is completely written. He finds a new home in 2019.

Odds: Any other team back-up QB

Odds: HC of Ravens (-110) | HC of Any Other Team (+250) | TV Analyst (+700) | None of these options (+270)

It's funny how these type of prop bets appear after a team loses three straight and four of their last five games. Harbaugh has enjoyed great success during his Baltimore tenure. With Joe Flacco in the twilight of his career and considering the overall age and state of the roster, it wouldn't surprise me to see Baltimore move in a different direction ahead of the 2019 season. 

The Bet: TV Analyst as he swaps places with Bruce Arians

Odds: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Luck has thrown 3-or-more touchdown passes in five consecutive games.The Jaguars defense has allowed 3-or-more passing touchdowns only once this season. It was Week 8 against Carson Wentz and the Eagles in London. For as well as Luck has played and the Colts have looked over the past four-to-six weeks, their strength of schedule is pretty weak. I believe a hungry Jaguars team coming out of the BYE takes a lot of their frustration out on Luck and Colts offensive line.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Over 90 | Under 90

Fantasy football outlets are projecting that the Browns rookie running back flirts with 90 rush yards against the visiting Falcons. While it's true that Atlanta has struggled in stopping opposing running backs this season. It's also true that key defensive players are returning from injury and that should help shore up the team's rush defense. Atlanta's defense has allowed 62.3 rush yards per game to opposing running backs over the past three contests.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Over 70 | Under 70

The Redskins have lost three starting offensive lineman over the past two weeks and two of the three are out for the season. So, Adrian Peterson will find it a wee-bit more challenging to squeeze through the line and break long runs as he's done on a numerous occasions this season. He's rushed for 90-or-more yards in five of eight games this season. The Buccaneers allow 107.1 rush yards per game and rank 27th against the position. However, it's more likely that Peterson scores a touchdown than rushes for more than 70 yards as Tampa Bay has allowed 12 rushing touchdowns in eight games.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Over 60 | Under 60

Cooper caught five passes on eight targets for 58 yards with a touchdown in his Cowboys debut. The Eagles allow nearly 270 pass yards per game and rank 29th in yards allowed to opposing wide receivers. It's a favorable matchup for Cooper against a new division rival.

The Bet: OVER

Odds: Yes (+105) | No (-115)

The veteran tight end scored his first touchdown since September last Sunday night against the Patriots. The depleted Dolphins defense has allowed opposing tight ends to record four-or-more receptions in each of the past four games and five touchdowns over the same stretch.

The Bet: YES