
For a packed Sunday slate in the NFL, we're opting for the volume leaders in three inviting matchups. Simple at its core, and we're ready to pop with some scoring props in Week 10. We're overdue to deliver.
You may or may not have caught the Tampa Bay secondary getting absolutely torched in Week 9 by C.J. Stroud to the tune of 470 yards and five passing touchdowns. While that was the worst effort yet from the Buccaneers, it's nothing new if you look at their season as a whole.
Tampa Bay is allowing the sixth-most passing yards per attempt, the sixth-most passing touchdowns per game, and the second-most passing yards per game.
That all suggests that the Tennessee Titans are set to find some success through the air, and DeAndre Hopkins is a natural name to follow because of it. Hopkins leads the Titans WRs with 64 targets, 12 of which have come in the red zone. He caught three touchdowns from Will Levis just two games ago, and it's a great spot to find similar success.
I'm surprised to see Allgeier priced so much better than Bijan Robinson based on their usage trends. Allgeier has the slight edge in total carries, but he's compeltely outstripping Robinson in the red zone, seeing 28 total RZ looks to Robinson's 13.
That role should be fruitful here against a Cardinals defense allowing the third-most touchdowns per game to running backs and struggling to stop opposing team's rushing attacks. Allgeier has three touchdowns this season.
The Washington Commanders have really had problems slowing down top wide receivers, allowing the second-most touchdowns per game to the position. Not only are the touchdowns flowing, but so is everything else.
Washington ranks among the league's worst against explosvie passing plays, yards per pass attempt, and DVOA has them down as the fourth-worst secondary in football.
That suggests some Seahawks receiving touchdowns in this one, and with DK Metcalf showing up on the injury report, Tyler Lockett may be the man to deliver. Lockett leads Seattle with 57 targets, and his 10 red zone targets are just four shy of Metcalf's. He's scored three times this season and should find his chances in this one.
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