Dallas Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle (23). Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 13: Two 'TNF' touchdown props for Cowboys vs. Seahawks

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 11/30/23

We're liking the value on some running backs as Week 13 gets started with the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Dallas Cowboys. We've been on a nice run of finding value spots in the TD prop market, so here's to keeping that rolling in a fresh week.

Rico Dowdle (+260 FanDuel)

By all means, go for Tony Pollard instead, but his -145 price isn't nearly as inviting as the +260 we can get on RB2 Rico Dowdle.

The running backs are in a very good spot against Seattle. The Seahawks have allowed the third-most touchdowns/game to RBs this season. While Pollard is the starting running back and has gotten far more volume, their usage in the red zone has been a bit closer over the past few weeks.

Since Week 10, Pollard has eight red zone looks to Dowdle's seven, and both backs have two touchdowns in that span. Rather than a -145 bet on a TD, we'll gladly go here to +260.

Zach Charbonnet (+150 Caesars)

Dallas' defense may be great, but finding a +150 price on a starting running back that figures to get the type of work that Zach Charbonnet is going to get seems like the type of thing to jump on. Note that the rookie RB has never scored a touchdown.

Last week with Kenneth Walker sidelined, Charbonnet took 14 carries and caught four balls. He's very likely the player on Seattle who will touch the ball the most, and as such, he's our favorite look to score from the Seahawks end tonight.

Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.

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