Arizona Cardinals running back Michael Carter (22). Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 18: Three value touchdown prop bets for Sunday

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 1/5/24

We're looking down the board this Sunday for some solid touchdown prop value in the +200 to +400 range. There are plenty of games that still hold meaning, or otherwise have teams that want to end their season strong. That opens the door for us, and we've got just the ticket for those that like to bet touchdowns.

DeAndre Hopkins (+200 Caesars)

Mike Vrabel has made it abundantly clear that he plans to have his team play hard and play spoiler against the Jaguars in their otherwise-meaningless season finale on Sunday.

That should be good news for those who want to bet on DeAndre Hopkins to score, as the Titans top wide receiver gets to face a Jacksonville secondary allowing the fifth-most touchdowns per game to WRs.

Hopkins scored last time he saw the Jaguars and should see plenty of targets this weekend.

Jameson Williams (+235 DraftKings)

Now, Amon-Ra St. Brown looks great and is a fine option, but if you want to travel off the beaten path, consider Detroit's explosive WR Jameson Williams.

Williams has three touchdowns this year, but he did score last season against Minnesota. The Vikings have really had their problems against wide receivers, allowing the sixth-most touchdowns per game and the third-most receptions to the position.

Williams has been involved for Detroit, going for 43+ yards in three straight games. He could easily break one here, and in what should be a high-scoring game, this is a nice price to grab for a secondary option on Sunday.

Michael Carter (+450 Caesars)

This one is a bit of a long shot, but hey, the former Jets running back scored last week for the Cardinals and has started seeing some work in this Arizona offense. Carter saw eight touches last week, taking seven carries for 61 yards and catching one pass for a touchdown.

He's been efficient with the ball in his hands in limited work, averaging 7.3 yards per rush, and he gets a soft opponent to build on his strong end to the season.

The Seahawks are allowing the third-most touchdowns per game to running backs and are tied for the sixth-most yards allowed per rush. Carter should see some chances here.

Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.

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