With 12 games featuring four-point spreads or less and the under hitting over 60% of the time so far this season, we're going to take advantage and include a favorite getting points via the teaser and take the best defensive team in the AFC on an over/under. I know both legs of last week's best teaser missed, but trust me, this teaser is worth putting some big money on.
Cooper Rush is 3-0 as a starter in his career, and against a bad Washington team, take the Cowboys +2.5 on the teaser. By no means should you expect Dallas to blowout the Commanders like the Eagles did last week, but expect the Cowboys to be in full control.
The Dallas defense leads the NFL in sacks, and Washington leads the NFL in sacks allowed. Don't expect that to change on Sunday. The Cowboys might not feature the same explosiveness on offense with Dak Prescott still on the sidelines, but Rush has shown us that he won't cost Dallas the game either.
Tampa Bay has allowed the fewest points in the NFL, but Dallas might have the best defense in the NFC. Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence have dominated the edge so far this season, and Trevon Diggs continues to be a nightmare for opposing offenses in the secondary. Meanwhile Dallas continues to run the ball effectively with Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, and do just enough in the passing game to keep moving the sticks and getting points on the scoreboard.
As for Washington, I hate to say it, but not much has changed from last year. The Commanders still struggle to score consistently and protect their quarterback, and allow over 400 yards per game. That's not a recipe for success. Certainly Washington could come out fired up for a division game and pull out the win, but that's highly unlikely considering how they've played the last two weeks. That's why we're taking Dallas +3.5 on the spread via the teaser.
As for the final leg of our teaser, we're taking the under between the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders. The line currently sits at 45.5 total points, but with the teaser, it moves it to 51.5. And the main reason we like this line is because of Denver.
The Broncos have failed to score 20 points in each of their first three games, but they haven't allowed more than 17 in a game either. And until that changes, you should continue to bet the under in each of Denver's games.
Denver thought acquiring quarterback Russell Wilson would improve its offense, but that hasn't been the case so far. In fact, they look worse than they did a year ago. Now does that mean Denver won't get it going offensively? Absolutely not. But don't expect them to explode for 30+ points either.
But for what Denver lacks on offense, they certainly make up for on defense. Not only have the Broncos allowed the fewest points in the AFC, they've allowed the third fewest number of yards. Bradley Chubb and Randy Gregory have had little trouble getting to the quarterback, and Patrick Surtain and Ronald Darby might just be the cornerback duo in the NFL.
As for the Raiders, they're winless and can't do a whole lot right. They're averaging only 21 points a game, and have yet to play a defense like Denver's this season. Las Vegas has struggled at times defensively, but the Broncos haven't shown enough offensively to think this week will be any different. This could be a close cover, but the under here is the way to go.
The 2-Leg Teaser Bet: Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) to (+2.5) and Denver Broncos/Las Vegas Raiders (<45.5 Total Points) to (<51.5 Total Points) (+110 odds via Barstool)
Our Bark Bets sports betting newsletter has the news, picks and analysis smart bettors are using to win. Sign up today!
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!