NFL Week 8: Dougherty's 'Beat the Line' bets

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns 

The Browns have the worst offense in the NFL through seven weeks, but that's about to change. Deshaun Watson likely suffered a torn Achilles in Sunday's loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. Dorian Thompson-Robinson also suffered a finger injury in relief, meaning it's finally Jameis Winston time in Cleveland.

Winston is such a good over target because he takes shots downfield and isn't afraid to turn the ball over. He's just as likely to throw an 80-yard touchdown as he is to throw an 80-yard pick-six. Winston entered the game late in the fourth quarter and immediately led Cleveland to a touchdown drive and a two-point conversion in his first and only drive.  This Browns offense is finally going to be functional for the first time all season, and you can pencil in the Ravens for at least 27 points against any defense in the league right now. The bet to make: Over 42 (-114 Bet365)

Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins

The Cardinals have a good chance to improve their power rating on Monday night. Arizona is almost a pick'em at home against the Los Angeles Chargers, and a win against a current AFC playoff team would surely affect this spread against the Dolphins. 

Most importantly, this line could move six points depending on Tua Tagovailoa's availability. The Dolphins are designating Tagovailoa to come off injured reserve this week, but would anyone really be surprised if they hold him out for another game? The season feels like a lost cause at this point, and the optics of rushing Tagovailoa back from another head injury aren't great. If Tim Boyle ends up starting, the Cardinals will close as at least three-point favorites. 

Even if it's Tagovailoa, we don't trust the Dolphins offense to magically flip a switch behind this terrible offensive line. Grab the hook while you still can. The bet to make: Cardinals +3.5 (-110 FD)