NFL Week 9 betting guide, Part 2

Week 9 of the NFL season is right around the corner. Before you finalize your betting card for the week, make sure to check out our comprehensive betting guide with picks and predictions for every game on the slate. Let's get to Part 2. 

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants

Sunday, Nov. 3, 1 p.m. ET, FOX
Spread: Commanders -3.5
Total: 43.5

Washington's unbelievable season hit a high note last week with Jayden Daniels' Hail Mary winner to walk off the Chicago Bears. Despite the miraculous win, the Commanders continued to struggle to convert red-zone drives into touchdowns. Washington ranks 24th in the NFL in red-zone touchdown percentage (51.4 percent).

The Giants are one of the best RZ defenses in the NFL, as we saw in Week 2 when they held the Commanders to seven field goals and no touchdowns. New York also has the highest sack rate (13.3 percent) in the league, which could be a problem for Daniels and his injured ribs. 

Mismatch to exploit: Brian Robinson vs. Giants defensive front

Robinson torched New York's 32nd-ranked run defense for 133 rushing yards on 17 carries in Week 2. Check out his rushing yards over in this one.

Prediction: Commanders 27, Giants 20

Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, Nov. 3, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS
Spread: Cardinals -1
Total: 44.5

As thrilling as last week's win was for the Commanders, it was even more devastating for the Bears. Head coach Matt Eberflus and offensive coordinator Shane Waldron are underachieving with this roster, which is directly impacting Caleb Williams' development. 

The Cardinals, meanwhile, have won two straight games to take the NFC West lead at 4-4. So much is on Kyler Murray's shoulders considering how much talent the defense is lacking, but you can never predict which weeks he's going to show up.

Mismatch to exploit: Caleb Williams vs. Cardinals defense

Williams struggles against defenses that generate pressure, but the Cardinals aren't one of them. Look for Williams to bounce back and go over his passing yards prop.

Prediction: Bears 25, Cardinals 24

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, Nov. 3, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS
Spread: Eagles -7.5
Total: 45.5

Don't look now, but the Eagles are starting to figure it out. Philadelphia has won its last two games by a combined score of 65-20, and Jalen Hurts hasn't turned the ball over in three straight games. The defense has looked fantastic since the bye week in Week 5.

The Jaguars fought hard in a close loss to the Green Bay Packers last week, but it won't be easy to replicate that performance. Jacksonville's top two running backs, top three wide receivers and two offensive linemen are listed as questionable for this Sunday. 

Mismatch to exploit: A.J. Brown vs. Jaguars secondary 

Brown has caught a pass of at least 29 yards in all four of his starts this season, and the Jaguars rank 30th in the NFL in yards allowed per pass. Give a look to Brown's longest reception prop.

Prediction: Eagles 30, Jaguars 23

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

Sunday, Nov. 3, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX
Spread: Packers -2.5
Total: 48.5

The game of the week is going down in Green Bay, but you shouldn't place a bet until we get more clarity on the Packers offense. Jordan Love is questionable to play after suffering a groin injury last week. Josh Jacobs and three starting offensive linemen are also on the injury report.

On the other side, there's nothing wrong with Detroit's offense right now. The Lions are averaging a ridiculous 43.0 points over their last four games, as Jared Goff and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson have this unit humming. They shouldn't slow down against a Green Bay defense that just gave up 27 points and 7.0 yards per play against the Jaguars. 

Mismatch to exploit: Lions offense vs. Packers defense

The Packers allowed the Jags to rip off explosive passing plays all game. How's that gonna go against the most efficient, most creative offense in the league? Check out the Lions to go over their team total. 

Prediction: Lions 31, Packers 27

Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

Sunday, Nov. 3, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX
Spread: Rams -1.5
Total: 48

This should be a fun one. The Rams are trending up with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back on the field, as they scored 30 points and averaged 5.8 yards per play in an upset win against the Minnesota Vikings last week. This offense, if healthy, could carry Los Angeles right back into the playoff race. 

It's hard to pinpoint who the Seahawks are this year. Seattle got blown out by the Buffalo Bills at home one week after crushing the Atlanta Falcons on the road. Good luck predicting which version of Seattle will show up every Sunday. The Seahawks could be in trouble if DK Metcalf (knee) misses another week.

Mismatch to exploit: Kyren Williams vs. Seahawks rush defense

The Seahawks gave up 111 rushing yards and two touchdowns to James Cook last week, and they now rank 28th in the NFL in yards allowed per rush. Check out Williams' rushing yards prop over.

Prediction: Rams 27, Seahawks 23

Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, Nov. 3, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Spread: Vikings -5
Total: 46.5

One of the biggest announcements of the week came out of Indianapolis, as the Colts decided to bench Anthony Richardson in favor of Joe Flacco. Richardson is completing just 44.4 percent of his passes and has thrown seven interceptions and just four touchdowns this year. Still, it's surprising to see a team bench their project quarterback after just 10 NFL starts.

Minnesota's bye week came at the perfect time. The Vikings lost back-to-back games after their 5-0 start, and teams have started to figure out how to attack Brian Flores' blitz-heavy defense. Flores is going to come after Flacco this week, but he won't hesitate to take hits and deliver deep balls to Josh Downs and Alec Pierce.

Mismatch to exploit: Justin Jefferson vs. Colts secondary

The Colts have given up 100-yard games to George Pickens, Brian Thomas Jr., Nico Collins, Rome Adunze. Jefferson might put up 200 in this matchup, so check out some alternate lines on his receiving yards.

Prediction: Vikings 27, Colts 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, Nov. 3, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Spread: Chiefs -8.5
Total: 46

This is a brutal spot for the Buccaneers. It's tough enough to go up against Steve Spagnuolo and this Chiefs defense, but the Bucs have to do it without Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Cade Otton is coming off two big games in a row, but Spagnuolo is going to build his game plan on shutting down the tight end.

Patrick Mahomes finally threw his first touchdown in October last week, but he's still thrown more interceptions (nine) than touchdowns (eight) this season. That just tells you how dominant the defense has been in the first half of the year. If Mahomes can turn it on with DeAndre Hopkins now in town, Kansas City might just be unstoppable. 

Mismatch to exploit: Baker Mayfield vs. Steve Spagnuolo

As we just mentioned, Mayfield could be in for a rough performance against this aggressive defense. Look for him to throw an interception or the Bucs to go under their team total.

Prediction: Chiefs 23, Buccaneers 13