NFL Week 9: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins betting picks, preview

The Chiefs rank second in the NFL in points allowed per game, so Sunday will go a long way in determining how real this Dolphins offense is. 

On the other side of the ball, Kansas City failed to score a touchdown last week for the first time under Patrick Mahomes. The passing offense hasn't been impressive outside of Travis Kelce, but that could change this week against a Miami defense that's been vulnerable to the deep ball.

Chiefs vs. Dolphins betting picks

Chiefs moneyline (-124 FanDuel)

This spread opened closer to Chiefs -3, but it's slowly starting to creep down as the week goes on. Part of the reason for the line move is that the Dolphins chose to get ahead of the time difference and fly to Germany on Tuesday, whereas the Chiefs didn't arrive until Friday morning. 

Adjusting to the time difference and jet lag is a key factor in these international games, sure, but it's also creating a rare, valuable price on Mahomes. We learned this in the Super Bowl last season, didn't we? If Mahomes is ever an underdog or a short favorite in a game, you take it with no questions asked. 

The Dolphins have yet to prove they can hang with the top teams in the NFL, so that makes this cheap ML bet even more appealing.

Dolphins team total under 24.5 (-116 FanDuel)

We mentioned it above, but the Dolphins have struggled to score against the two best defensive units they've faced this season. Miami scored only four offensive touchdowns combined against the Bills and Eagles, and the Chiefs have a better defense than both.

Kansas City hasn't given up more than 24 points all season, and although this is the best offense they've faced so far, we trust this unit to keep an overrated offense under 24.5.