Packers' dominance goes deeper than the box score, and the underlying numbers prove just how real their rise has been

It's relatively uncommon for a team to lose a game and have a higher post-game win expectancy, but that's exactly what happened to the Packers against the Cleveland Browns. As you already know, the blocked field goal was the main reason for the loss.

The Packers were also more likely to win the game against the Dallas Cowboys, which went to overtime and ended up in a tie.

Packers' post-game win expectancy per week

• Week 1 vs. Lions - 99.2%
• Week 2 vs. Commanders - 98.9%
• Week 3 vs. Browns - 65.5%
• Week 4 vs. Cowboys - 90.1%
• Week 6 vs. Bengals - 93.3%

Performance

This metric is interesting because you can actually see how well the team performed, and in fact those first two wins of the season were the most dominant games — especially over the Detroit Lions in Week 1. It was much closer against a weaker team in the Browns, which highlights the underwhelming production in that game.

But the fact is that, despite some lack of consistency and eventual ups and downs, the Packers have still been a high-level team.

Sure, it might not matter to a certain degree if the actual wins don't happen. But if the idea is to project sustainable long-term performance, what the team has done does matter. Over the next few games, the Packers will have good opportunities to prove themselves against the Arizona Cardinals, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Carolina Panthers. Just like they did against the Cincinnati Bengals, confirming the win beyond the underlying stats is the ultimate goal.