Predicted Stat Line: Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield vs Atlanta

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host Atlanta in a critical Week 8 divisional matchup at Raymond James Stadium. Baker Mayfield enters his second game back after missing three contests with a dislocated thumb.

Mayfield’s return against Carolina produced limited passing opportunities, as Tampa Bay relied heavily on its rushing attack. However, Atlanta presents a different defensive challenge, potentially requiring more production through the air.

Predicted Stat Line for Baker Mayfield vs Atlanta

• Completions: 22–30
• Pass Attempts: 32–42
• Completion Percentage: 62–72%
• Passing Yards: 215–270
• Passing Touchdowns: 1–3
• Interceptions: 0–1
• Rushing Attempts: 2–5
• Rushing Yards: 8–25
• Sacks Taken: 2–4
• Fumbles: 0–1

Key Factors Influencing

Atlanta’s pass defense presents an interesting opportunity for Mayfield and Tampa Bay’s passing offense. The Falcons rank 29th in the NFL, allowing 255.6 passing yards per game.

However, those numbers don’t tell the entire story. Atlanta has defended the run effectively, ranking fourth in the league with 88.9 rushing yards allowed per game. That could force Tampa Bay into more passing situations than usual.

Mayfield must also continue adjusting to playing with his injured right thumb. His protective glove remains something to monitor, particularly when throwing under pressure. Another week of practice should help him regain comfort and consistency.

Tampa Bay will also be without Emeka Egbuka, removing an important weapon from the receiving corps. Chris Godwin and the remaining receiving options must shoulder additional responsibility. Mayfield will need to distribute the football effectively against Atlanta’s secondary.

The Falcons also feature an experienced ball-hawking safety in Jessie Bates. He has recorded an interception, two forced fumbles, and four passes defended this season. Mayfield cannot afford to force throws into coverage or give Atlanta additional opportunities.

Final Stat Predictions

• Completions: 25
• Pass Attempts: 38
• Completion Percentage: 65.8%
• Passing Yards: 254
• Passing Touchdowns: 3
• Interceptions: 0
• Rushing Attempts: 3
• Rushing Yards: 16
• Sacks Taken: 2
• Fumbles: 0

Mayfield should see considerably more passing opportunities against Atlanta than he received against Carolina. The Falcons’ run defense could force Tampa Bay to rely more heavily on its quarterback.

The missing production from Egbuka creates another obstacle, but Godwin remains an important target. Mayfield should find enough opportunities to deliver two touchdown passes while navigating Atlanta’s defensive pressure.

Final Prediction: 25-of-38 passing, 254 yards, 3 touchdowns, 0 interception, 3 carries for 16 yards, 2 sacks taken, 0 fumbles.

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