This Chart Confirms John Lynch's Biggest Draft Issue as 49ers GM

Funnily enough, Gutenkunst has a few value picks as well; he just reached more often, and a touch more than Lynch. Meanwhile, according to the chart, Lynch has never made a pick in the first round that was lower than the consensus board. Based on projections, he either took the player at their typical value or he reached for them in the first round. 

The chart seems to show that there were two outlier level reaches, and then the rest were at least in the general area of where they should go. Those are likely Trey Lance and Ricky Pearsall. 

Most boards had Justin Fields as the next quarterback to be drafted, and a lot of analysts were down on Lance due to his small school play and lack of experience. Pearsall was widely regarded as a mid-second to third round pick before he was taken in the first round. 

Mike McGlinchey and Brandon Aiyuk went slightly higher than expected, Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams, and Javon Kinlaw went about exactly as expected, but none of those threw off the overall tracking as Lance and Pearsall did. 

Still, when you have two outliers one way and nothing to offset them, it makes sense why the perception is that Lynch is going to reach, even if five of his seven first-round picks were within a few draft slots. 

This makes the 49ers' pick at 27 all the more interesting now. There are players like Chase Bistontis, who is in the 40s on mock draft boards but would start at left guard day one. What would stop the 49ers from reaching on him, or another player in that same range, given their history? This should make mock draft projections more open-minded over the next few weeks.