Touchdown prop targets for Week 3: Look for value in Chiefs-Colts matchup

I will be the first to admit that my personal Week 2 touchdown bets did not pan out. As is typically the case, it was mostly circling the right spots and picking the wrong players.

To cut through that, I'm offering a chance for you to do your own research and cobble together some touchdown plays that resonate with you.

I've done my typical gathering of data to circle a few potential areas of interest for touchdown targets, along with the players who feel most likely to be involved. Bookmark this, and let's see how this approach does in aiding your NFL Sunday bets!

All stats are courtesy of FootballGuys.com.

Kansas City Chiefs WRs/TEs vs. Indianapolis

Why they're here: The Colts have let up two touchdowns to tight ends and a pair to receivers. This comes after being inside the top 10 of most touchdowns allowed to both of these positions in 2021, and the vulnerability appears to still be here in 2022.

Volume leaders: 

• Travis Kelce: 16 targets, 3 red zone (RZ) looks
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 11 targets, 2 RZ looks
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 11 targets, 2 RZ looks
• Mecole Hardman: 10 targets, 3 RZ looks

Indianapolis Colts WRs vs. Kansas City

Why they're here: The Chiefs have let up three touchdowns to receivers through two games and allowed the sixth-most in 2021.

Volume leaders: 

• Michael Pittman (1 game): 13 targets, 3 RZ looks
• Ashton Dulin: 13 targets, 2 RZ looks

Minnesota Vikings RBs vs. Detroit

Why they're here: The Lions have let up four touchdowns to running backs this year, the most in the league. In 2021, Detroit allowed the third-most TDs to the position.

Volume leaders: 

• Dalvin Cook: 26 carries, 11 targets, 1 RZ look
• Alexander Mattison: 10 carries, 5 targets, 4 RZ looks

New England Patriots WRs/TEs vs. Baltimore

Why they're here: The Ravens have let up five touchdowns to wide receivers and two to tight ends this season. That's the most to WRs and tied for second-most to TEs. In 2021, Baltimore ranked inside the top 10 of most touchdowns allowed to both positions.

Volume leaders: 

• Jakobi Meyers: 19 targets, 0 RZ looks
• Nelson Agholor: 11 targets, 1 RZ looks
• Jonnu Smith: 7 targets, 0 RZ looks

Cincinnati Bengals RBs vs. NY Jets

Why they're here: The Jets have allowed three touchdowns to running backs through two games and led the NFL in TDs allowed to the position last year with 23.

Volume leaders: 

• Joe Mixon: 46 carries, 13 targets, 5 RZ looks

Las Vegas Raiders WRs vs. Tennessee

Why they're here: The Titans have allowed four touchdowns to receivers, the second-most in the NFL. Last year, Tennessee saw 20 WR touchdowns against it, good for fourth-most.

Volume leaders: 

• Davante Adams: 24 targets, 5 RZ looks
• Hunter Renfrow: 16 targets, 2 RZ looks
• Mack Hollins: 9 targets, 1 RZ look

Philadelphia Eagles WRs vs. Washington

Why they're here: The Commanders have allowed three touchdowns to receivers in two games, and their 19 touchdowns to the position last season were sixth-most in the league.

Volume leaders: 

• AJ Brown: 21 targets, 2 RZ looks
• DeVonta Smith: 11 targets, 0 RZ looks

Los Angeles Chargers WRs vs. Jacksonville

Why they're here: The Jaguars have allowed four touchdowns to receivers in two games and saw 17 scored against them from the position in 2021.

Volume* leaders: 

• Mike Williams: 14 targets, 1 RZ look
• Josh Palmer: 12 targets, 3 RZ looks
• DeAndre Carter: 7 targets, 0 RZ looks

*Keenan Allen was hurt early in Game 1 but saw four targets before leaving. His status is unknown for Week 3 at time of writing.

Seattle Seahawks WRs vs. Atlanta

Why they're here: No team has allowed more touchdowns to receivers than the Falcons at five, and they were tied for fourth-most TDs allowed to WRs in 2021.

Volume leaders: 

• Tyler Lockett: 15 targets, 0 RZ looks
• DK Metcalf: 13 targets, 0 RZ looks

Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona

Why they're here: The entire Rams offense is up for grabs here, as the Cardinals have allowed eight touchdowns this season, 2+ to each position. In 2021, Arizona's 27 touchdowns allowed to wide receivers were the most in the league by a sizable margin.

Volume leaders: 

• Cooper Kupp: 29 targets, 5 RZ looks
• Tyler Higbee: 20 targets, 3 RZ looks
• Darrell Henderson: 23 carries, 5 targets, 5 RZ looks

I hope the above is a helpful aid in your Week 3 prep! I'll be putting together some touchdown parlays off this data. Let me know what you cook up yourself on Twitter @GriffyBets.