Two 'MNF' props for Week 14's doubleheader: Target Packers and Dolphins

New York is allowing the third-most rushing yards per game to RBs, the second-most yards per rush attempt, and DVOA grades out their run defense 30th in the NFL.

Three of the last four starting running backs to play the Giants have notched big games, that being Rhamondre Stevenson (98 yards) , Brian Robinson (73), and Josh Jacobs (98). 

If Dillon's workload continues, this line should be his for the taking. He's logged 61+ yards in 13 of 16 games in which he records 14+ rush attempts.

Jaylen Waddle over 66.5 receiving yards (-115 ESPN)

There is self-admittedly a level of stubbornness in this bet. By all means, Tyreek Hill could just keep on crushing it and is worth a bet every week.

I just prefer Waddle here 40 yards lower than Hill. First, a note about this Tennessee defense, one of the best teams to target for WR props.

The Titans are allowing the third-most receptions per game to WRs, the sixth-highest yards per pass attempt and the sixth-most 20+ yard passes per game.

Again, that all comes up Tyreek Hill. Go with him if you want.

Waddle is still involved in this offense. He's been targeted 8+ times in three straight and six of the past eight games, averaging 5.2 receptions per game on the season. Based on the lines, sportsbooks are expecting 5+ catches for Miami's WR2 here.

When Waddle has caught 5+ balls in games with Hill also on the team, he's averaging 92.2 yards per game, going over this line in eight of 13 games. 

I have no doubt I'll be watching Hill streaking down the field tonight, this is simply a pivot to a far lower line in a situation that could offer up opportunity for both. Just last week, Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce both recorded 100+ yards for the Colts against this secondary.