Week 16 Best Bets: Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

It wasn’t the most profitable week for us, as I was unaware that the Bengals were going to totally quit in a must-win game last week. Alas, we move onward and upward in an attempt to win more money in Week 16:

Malik Washington OVER 2.5 Receptions (+117 DraftKings)

I waited all week for the sportsbooks to put his props up, so hopefully Malik Washington doesn’t make me look bad.

My Bet Backers:

• Washington has hit this line in three of the past four games, and eight of the last ten
• Not only is he the third-most targeted pass catcher on the team, Washington also has an absurd 36.4% of his targets behind the line of scrimmage. With a rookie quarterback and shaky offensive line, I expect lots of short, quick passes which benefits a player like Washington 

Darren Waller 1+ Receptions 1st Quarter + Chase Brown OVER 9.5 Rushing Yards 1st Quarter (+210 DraftKings)

Hopping back in the saddle here with first quarter player props.

My Bet Backers:

• Waller has had a first quarter catch in five of his seven games this season, and 8/20 receptions on the year have come in the opening quarter
• The high Perine-usage in the first quarter soured this pick for us last week, but I expect the Bengals to give Brown at least three carries on the opening drive, giving him ample opportunity to eclipse this line

Joe Burrow 2+ Passing Touchdowns + Samaje Perine 30+ Rushing Yards (+114 DraftKings)

I am betting on Joe Burrow being himself, and Perine to continue to see opportunities on offense.

My Bet Backers:

• Eight quarterbacks have had multiple passing touchdown games against Miami this season, with only four teams allowing more such games
• Every running back that has seen at least ten carries has hit the 30 yard mark
• Perine himself has hit this in 4/4 games where he has at least seven carries, and since the return of Joe Burrow he is averaging over 11 carries per game

Jaylen Waddle UNDER 52.5 Receiving Yards + Miami Dolphins UNDER 28.5 Total Points (+122 DraftKings)

I don’t often play unders, especially with opposing players against the Bengals defense this season. But with good value and good data to back it, I am confidently putting a unit behind this parlay.

My Bet Backers:

• Waddle’s yardage totals in five games without Tua last season were 26, 36, 46, 11, 44
• The Dolphins scored an average of 13 points per game without Tua last season, never topping 20 points in any contest
• The Bengals defense has struggled against even poor quarterbacks this season, but as of late they have allowed just 21 points per game over their past three outings
• While tight ends have caused issues, the Bengals have allowed just ONE wide receiver to hit this line since Week 11

Greg Dulcich 20+ Receiving Yards (+138 FanDuel)

Yet another prop I had to wait patiently for, but one I am jumping on with high confidence this week.

My Bet Backers:

• Dulcich has gone over this line in five of his last six games, and has secured a 20+ yard reception in three straight
• The Bengals struggles against opposing tight ends is well documented, and has come against both starters and reserves

Be sure to check in on my X account for last minute lott parlays, straight bets, and boosted slips leading up to kickoff on Sunday.

*DISCLAIMER* This is not intended to be betting advice, rather these are some props I like and will be placing my money on. While I use data and research to support my picks, there is no such thing as a sure bet. Always remember to only bet amounts you are comfortable losing.

• Tee Higgins Received Positive News From 'World Renowned Specialist' Ahead of Bengals vs Dolphins
• AFC Team Reportedly Offered Draft Pick Haul For Joe Burrow
• Joe Burrow MUST Rebound vs. Dolphins: Here’s Why It Matters for the Bengals
• Cincinnati Bengals Star Added to Injury Report Ahead of Matchup vs Miami Dolphins
• Bengals Defense Desperately Needs One Player to Step Up Down the Stretch