
The Jacksonville Jaguars lost to the Houston Texans in Week 10, 36-29. Although the final score says that the game was ultimately decided by a touchdown, the contest was actually much closer than that. In fact, Trevor Lawrence and his offense needed just a few yards on the last drive of the day to put Cam Little into field-goal range with the chance to win, down by just one point.
Instead, Lawrence was strip-sacked, and before the ball could even hit the turf, Sheldon Rankins caught it and housed it to drive the dagger into the hearts of all the Jaguars and their fans. That stung much more than a blowout would have, even if it had come from backup quarterback Davis Mills.
What's worse? Jacksonville had full control of the game for the majority of the contest. ESPN had the Jaguars with a 97.9 percent win probability with just over 12 minutes left in the fourth quarter. With 41 seconds remaining, it was still at 74.8 percent, with the Texans down by five and facing a second-and-goal from the nine-yard line. This loss for Jacksonville only became a tightly contested affair late in the fourth, but the Jaguars were dominated all day in one specific area.
The Jacksonville Jaguars had a great chance to win this game. Not just because they built a 29-10 lead before the fourth quarter, but even before the first kickoff. They should have had a major advantage with Houston Texans starting quarterback C.J. Stroud out with a concussion.
Furthermore, the Jaguars were supposed to be able to get pressure on backup Davis Mills all day, with Houston fielding one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL this season. And they were missing some of their starters there, too. Jacksonville knew that it'd be facing one of the most dominant defenses in the league, but it was able to adequately handle Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, and the rest of the Texans' elite pass rush in Week 4. The same couldn't be said for the rematch, as the Jaguars allowed 27 pressures and five sacks while getting just 23 pressures and two sacks on the other side of the ball.
Trevor Lawrence has taken 6 sacks in 5 wins this season and 20 sacks in 4 losses.
— Carson Breber (@Carsobi) November 10, 2025
The Jags have had some great performances limiting pressure, and if they can do that, they win — but great pass rushes have totally overwhelmed them several times.
Houston also dominated in the ground game, as it outrushed Jacksonville , 131 yards to 102. Head Coach Liam Coen was asked whether he could scheme a way to prevent his team from getting dominated in the trenches:
"I think there's maybe a few guys that can get some more opportunities at different positions. Rotating guys in. Keeping rushers fresh and utilize some of the personnel that we do have to be able to create. We tried, obviously, zero blitzing them a number of different times that did create a turnover, especially early in the game, put a little pressure on them to make throws under duress. But when we had to get home in some of those instances, the thing that occurred was we never made them one-dimensional."
"Even towards the end of the game, they were still running the ball. Like they were running it, staying balanced. They were getting five, six yards a chunk in the run game, which we never got them really into second-and-longs. Obviously, at the end of the game, when you get them in a third-and-long, third-and-goal to go, and we have an edge at the edge, and we're not able to get home and get them down. So, hey, we’ve all got to look at ourselves in the mirror and say, ‘How can we or I go improve my play and my job to help this team win?’ There's no magic solution.”
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