
The 2026–27 NHL season is quickly approaching. Before it kicks off, we can take advantage of the dog days of summer and look ahead to the Calgary Flames and their roster expectations. In this series, we’ll take a closer look at each player individually and provide a statistical projection based on historical performance, expected role, and future opportunity.
I’ve blended two approaches in building these projections: one based solely on each player’s historical stats, and another based on each player’s historical share of the Flames’ overall production. Combining both methods accounts for what a player has produced individually and how they have produced relative to the team’s overall offensive output.
The model uses three years of weighted data from previous seasons (2025–26: 50%, 2024–25: 30%, 2023–24: 20%), giving the most recent seasons the greatest influence.
The variable part of these projections reflects adjustments for expected role changes and age. Players taking on greater or lesser responsibilities at even strength or on special teams will see those changes reflected. At the same time, age adjustments account for expected development or decline based on each player’s career stage.
One last disclaimer: these projections are per game. Rather than predicting injuries, the goal is to estimate what each player can produce if they’re healthy for all 84 games.
With the methodology out of the way, here’s a look at Yegor Sharangovich and what to expect from him in 2026–27.
Establishing a baseline for Sharangovich was difficult. In his rookie season in 2020-21 with the New Jersey Devils, he averaged 30 points in 54 games. He followed that up with 46 points in 76 games in his second season. His production then dropped to 30 points in 76 games, leading New Jersey to trade him to the Flames in exchange for Tyler Toffoli, among other pieces.
In his first season in Calgary in 2023-24, he had a career year, scoring 31 goals and 59 points. The change of scenery may have helped. However, those numbers were heavily inflated by an unsustainable 17.3% shooting percentage.
Since then, he has failed to reach the 35-point mark in two straight seasons, with his final stat line last season being 15 goals and 29 points in 78 games. To me, these down seasons are his baseline, given that his most productive campaigns came in years when his shooting percentage was well above league average, and his underlying offensive metrics have never been good with the Flames, even in his 30-goal season.
I don’t expect Sharangovich’s role at even strength to change very much. Last season, he averaged 16:03 of ice time per game, slightly under his career average of 16:17 minutes per game. Where I think the biggest change in his role may come is on the penalty kill.
In 2025-26, Blake Coleman was the Flames’ third-most-used forward on the penalty kill. Coleman was traded to the Minnesota Wild this summer, which will open up time for Sharangovich, who was the next closest forward to Coleman’s shorthanded ice time and was 25 minutes above the next closest Flames forward behind him.
If that’s the case, we could see his average ice time per game increase, but this will likely have very little impact on his offensive production. Regardless, Sharangovich should do a good job filling Coleman’s shoes by clearing pucks from the defensive zone, which is the only area he graded positively in last season’s micro advanced stats.
| Goals | Assists | Points | Expected Goals | Shots |
Shot Attempts |
Scoring Chances | High Danger Chances |
| 16.60 | 12.88 | 34.48 | 16.13 | 129.54 | 322.87 | 140.67 | 58.19 |
With his role not changing much, his production should look similar to last year’s. Playing on the Flames’ third line, he won’t have the play driver or playmakers beside him to thrive and utilize his shot, which he has shown throughout his career can be lethal.
The only way I see him having another big season by his standards is if the Flames play him in a larger role and look to inflate his value. While being traded seems incredibly unlikely, Cullen Potter, Cole Reschny and potentially Ethan Wyttenbach should make their NHL debuts by the end of this season, meaning there will be a couple of odd men out.
In my head, Sharangovich could be one of those guys. He has another three seasons on his contract at the end of the 2026-27 season. Still, with the rising salary cap and how much it is costing teams to sign free agents in the offseason, there may be a slim chance that another general manager could see some value in bringing him in at his $5.75 million average annual value, for some depth offence without having to get in a free agency bidding war.
Realistically, Sharagovich plays out the season in Calgary and leaves Flames fans slightly underwhelmed again. I believe my projection is on the high end of where his production will land, but who knows- maybe he’ll prove me wrong with another elite finishing season and could pot another 30 goals. The team could surely use a season like that.
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