The Montreal Canadiens goalie signed Kaapo Kahkonen for a reason. While it was logically for additional depth in net and as insurance policy, it’s hard to envision a better time to give him the net than in Saturday’s preseason finale against the Ottawa Senators, after the last game between the division rivals went so, uh, colourfully, earlier this week.
Seeing as there’s really little more for Jakub Dobes to prove, why wouldn’t you? And that sentiment goes beyond Dobes having stayed perfect this preseason, after making a half-game appearance against the Philadelphia Flyers on Sept. 23 without allowing a goal and then getting the shutout against the Senators on Sept. 30.
It’s in reference to how, if not for Dobes, the Canadiens wouldn’t have clinched a playoff berth last season. While there’s no way to definitively test and prove that theory, consider the facts: Without Dobes, they had been overplaying Sam Montembeault due to a well-documented lack of faith in his predecessor, Cayden Primeau, who went 2-3-1 with an .836 Save Percentage (SV%) and 4.70 Goals-Against Average (GAA) before getting sent down.
So, with Dobes, who joined the fray in December, ultimately going 7-4-3 with a .909 SV% and 2.74 GAA, the Canadiens don’t beat out the Columbus Blue Jackets for the last spot by two points. They likely wouldn’t have gotten Dobes’ seven wins, at least not out of Primeau, who they weren’t even playing, and they wouldn’t have gotten such stellar play out of Montembeault, who finished fifth in the league in terms of goals saved above expected, according to MoneyPuck.com.
And that would be the only way to justify the Canadiens choosing Kahkonen as their backup over Dobes: the fact Montembeault has emerged as this team’s starter. Head coach Martin St. Louis seems inclined to not only giving Montembeault the lion’s share of starts, thereby potentially adversely impacting Dobes’ development, but run the former into the ground as well.
Kent Hughes says the Alex Carrier trade was filling a need that they had internally.
— Jared Book (@jaredbook) January 8, 2025
Says Cayden Primeau didn't have the start he wanted and the move was made to regain Primeau's confidence and not run Montembeault into the ground.
To St. Louis’ credit, he did give Dobes exactly 10 more starts from the point this piece, which suggested he do just that, was written in late January. However, the 10 should have been seen as the bare minimum, and, from March 3 until the end of the regular season, Montembeault started 17 of 22 games (prorated to 63 over 82 games), which while understandable in a certain light, seemed to play into the same mindset St. Louis seemed to display prior to Dobes’ arrival, that the former is Carey Price and his backup, whoever that is, simply cannot be trusted in high-pressure situations. Of course, in those games Montembeault put up a decent .906 SV%, but Dobes was far from chopped liver in his six appearances (.910).
So, if the Canadiens keep Dobes, things will have to change, whereas going with Kahkonen would suggest nothing likely will. Kahkonen is 29 and coming off a season in which he played all but one of his 39 games in the American Hockey League. The Habs simply won’t consider Kahkonen’s development were they to keep him as Montembeault’s backup, whereas they would be “burdened” (for lack of a better word) with having to, otherwise.
For another lack of a better word, Kahkonen is more “expendable” than Dobes, which is another reason why you’d, all due respect, play the Finn against the Senators, who, again, showed a blatant intent to injure on multiple occasions in this past week’s game, resulting in several fines. You shouldn’t put a goalie on whom the future of the organization could largely depend in a situation like that, where he might be run, when you can avoid it.
And true enough, many see prospect Jacob Fowler as Price’s actual, eventual heir apparent. However, that is another reason to send Kahkonen down, so that the Laval Rocket can play Fowler as their starter, under the tutelage of a veteran. Were Dobes to be cut, they’d presumably be forced to split the games more evenly. While there’s something to be said for healthy competition for ice time, why not apply that same mindset in the NHL, divvying up starts between Dobes and Montembeault? When Dobes has done nothing to warrant a demotion? If anything, he’s proven himself worthy of more NHL starts. Remember that.
It’s of course possible Kahkonen plays lights-out hockey tonight, if he does end up getting the nod against the Senators, making the decision as to which backup goalie to keep slightly harder. However, objectively speaking, while Kahkonen hasn’t been bad this preseason, Dobes has been better, albeit without having gotten tested as much. And isn’t that the point? To ice as good of a team as possible? Ultimately, the more you can rely on your backup, the fresher your starter remains. The better your team becomes as a whole.
Kahkonen would be a perfectly rational choice under normal circumstances. He’s proven himself capable in the NHL over a (much) larger sample size relative to Dobes. However, on the youngest projected team in the NHL rife with prospects and up-and-coming talent at every position, these aren’t really normal circumstances.
Just like the Canadiens have come to increase their reliance on their highly capable younger players at every position, out of necessity due to a lack of veterans, they must do the same in net. Kahkonen may be a rare veteran presence, but, when he’s as old as Montembeault, any argument to keep him misses its mark. Montembeault is the veteran, Dobes the younger goalie with an arguably higher ceiling. Cutting him wouldn’t just send the wrong message when Dobes has one nothing to warrant a demotion. It would also be the wrong move looking at his long-term development and the long-term outlook of the entire organization.
Put another way, there would be no reason at all.
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