Despite the overwhelming hype, Montreal Canadiens defenseman Lane Hutson was left off the list of the most overrated Canadiens players heading into 2024-25. The thought process had been that he should be “far from fair game from criticism” as a 20-year-old, especially one with just two NHL games to his name at that point in time.
Of course, there was the remote possibility Hutson would meet the lofty expectations of Canadiens fans and analysts alike too, as unlikely as that seemed. He ended up exceeding them by winning the Calder Memorial Trophy as the league’s best rookie.
By that same token, Ivan Demidov, who is similarly projected to contend for the Calder, wasn’t considered for this year’s list, as the Canadiens head into 2025-26. Here are the three who ended up making it instead, ranked in increasing order of likelihood that they fail to meet heightened expectations:
This isn’t the first time goalie Sam Montembeault made this list. However, it is the first time he’s made it after impressively establishing himself as an NHL starter (after having been acquired off waivers once upon a time). And, credit to him, he’s earned that level of legitimacy, at the very least, after ranking in the top five across the entire league in goals saved above expected (per MoneyPuck.com).
It’s when TSN.ca analyst Travis Yost places Montembeault (and backup Jakub Dobes) in the second of five tiers, ranking each of the 32 teams in the NHL in terms of goaltending, that renewed expectations may get out of control. At the end of the day, Montembeault has been very good, but, as he possesses a career .899 save percentage (SV%; .902 last season), it’s hard to justify any suggestion he’s on the same level as someone like Andrei Vasilevskiy (.917) of the Tampa Bay Lightning or Jake Oettinger (.912) of the Dallas Stars.
Montembeault did make the Canadian 4 Nations Face-Off team. He may not have seen any game action, but he was nevertheless deserving of the honour, despite any politically charged argument to the contrary. He further justified his selection by earning a .928 SV% in his first seven games immediately after the NHL schedule resumed. Of course, based on his overall stat line, you can probably guess how he fared statistically from that point on, as the Canadiens overused him down the stretch.
Ultimately, with goaltending having justifiably been seen as the country’s weak point, Montembeault hasn’t arrived as anything other than the aforementioned starter into which he’s developed. Until he develops more consistency and stamina, he simply has more to prove before he can truly be considered elite. Until then, “average” has to do. Thankfully, Montembeault shouldn’t have to be Carey Price to win it all. “Average” historically does just fine, at least when playing behind above-average teams.
When the Canadiens signed Sammy Blais as an unrestricted free agent this summer, two things became clear:
While that narrative has arguably been overemphasized to a fault, with the Canadiens actually having outhit the Capitals in the series, there’s no mistaking Blais’ strength as a 6-foot-2 forward (210 pounds) who is known as “an aggressive forechecker who loves to hit.” It’s also easy to see him fitting in as a potential 13th forward, like Michael Pezzetta did in years past. The thing is, Pezzetta didn’t play any playoff games last season. And Blais didn’t play any NHL games (at all). So, take any narrative that Blais is a saviour of any kind with a huge grain of salt. There should be no guarantees he even makes the team out of training camp.
One reason the Canadiens don’t need Blais is Josh Anderson. The 6-foot-3 forward (226 pounds) has a well-earned reputation of throwing his weight around and a not-so-well-earned reputation of contributing significant secondary offense.
Whereas defenseman Arber Xhekaj gets credit for helping to turn the series against the Capitals around (or simply giving the Habs a chance to actually win) thanks to his physicality upon being inserted into the lineup in Game 3, Anderson also contributed heavily to that 6-3 win (to cut the deficit to 2-1). It just was by helping to contain Wilson, instead of through that aforementioned offense, which has kind of gotten overstated.
Like Montembeault, Anderson has made this list before. He got left off it heading into 2024-25 though, after having just suffered through a 20-point campaign. It almost suddenly become apparent Anderson simply wasn’t the top-six forward the team tried to transform him into ever since having acquired him before 2020-21. However, there shouldn’t have been anything sudden about it, based on the single 40-point season to his name (2018-19 with the Columbus Blue Jackets) and how he has never scored more than 32 since.
An admitted 20-goal threat if he’s deployed favourably alongside star talent, Anderson to his credit notched a respectable 15 last season. However, giving him too much credit for a bounce-back season would be a mistake, when:
Of course, Anderson is valuable. And it’s a testament to the overall strength of the team that he should take the top spot here when he has the potential to be a key role player for the Canadiens over the remaining two years of his contract. However, at a $5.5 million cap hit, he arguably should be contributing more than he has and realistically will, now at Age 31.
With that, no one should read too much into Anderson’s decent 2024-25. He’s not going to transform into a top-six winger at this stage of his career, especially not when the Canadiens have as much depth up front as they do. It’s depth to which Anderson does of course contribute, but more so in the third-line role he probably should have been playing all along.
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