
In the grander scheme of things, and as the calendar heads deeper into mid-November, the Montreal Canadiens are in a good position. With an 11-3-4 record and third place in the Atlantic Division, there isn’t a ton to criticize. That said, things can always be better, and it would be disingenuous to overlook Juraj Slafkovksy’s numbers this season. He is certainly off last season’s pace. Montreal will need him at his best going forward.
It felt like a long time coming for the Slovakian forward to experience a breakout campaign. It happened throughout 2025-26, which was his fourth season in the NHL. Every coin has two sides, however. It might sound like a long wait. The fanbase witnessed three seasons during which expectations were not necessarily met. Those expectations were extraordinarily high, given that Slafkovsky was the first selection in the 2022 NHL Draft.
Then again, 2026-27 will be the season during which he celebrates his 23rd birthday (March 30). Is it realistic to put the weight of expectations for glory on the shoulders of a young man when he is 19, 20, or 21 years old? Under almost any other professional circumstances, an unequivocal no. But this is the NHL, and these are the Montreal Canadiens, and that comes with the territory, especially when playing on the first line, realism be damned.
But it did finally happen last season. Not only was Slafkovsky healthy enough to play all 82 matches (the second time in four seasons Providence shone on him in that regard), but the statistics looked excellent. The attacker erupted for 30 goals, 43 assists, and 73 points, all career bests. His plus/minus was a sturdy plus-9, also superior to past campaigns.
Those 30 markers were evenly split between playing even-strength hockey and on the power play, one reason why Montreal boasted solid power-play figures in 2025-26: 23.10%, good for 10th league-wide.
At a certain point, the argument that “it’s early in 2026-27” will no longer hold much water. Through about a month and a half of action, Slafkovsky does not look like his former self. At least, he doesn’t resemble the one from last season.
He’s played in all of the club’s 19 contests, averaging just about the same amount of ice time as last season (18:05 versus 18:32, but both are far above the three previous campaigns). Following the Nov. 12 match against the Boston Bruins, the 22-year-old has netted only twice while adding 10 assists for 12 points.
Considering there are 84 regular-season matches to play and assuming the forward remains healthy to participate in all of them, we can multiply those figures by 4.42 (84 divided by 19) to have an estimate of his current pace. Emphasis on estimate.
He would mathematically finish the campaign with 8-9 goals and about 44 assists for a total of 53 points or thereabouts. That is a far cry from 73. His shooting percentage is alarming as well, sitting at a lowly 4.4%, which is nowhere close to 16.7% in 2025-26, or the 13.5% in 2024-25.
To make matters worse, he’s also on pace to spend significantly more time in the penalty box. He’s never spent more than 55 during a campaign, but at the current rate, at the end of matchday 84, he’ll have sat there for 79.5 minutes. That’s nearly a minute per game. Arber Xhekaj isn’t the lone Canadiens player with that to worry about, albeit for different reasons.
The hard-core metrics don’t flatter him either. According MoneyPuck, he boasts the second-highest expected goals (xG) on the roster with 6.6. The problem? His goals above expected are an appalling minus-4.6, the worst on the team. Expected goals per 60 minutes? 1.15. Actual goals per 60 minutes? 0.35. He’s snug between Arber Xhekaj and Kaiden Guhle, not two players a first-line forward’s numbers should be compared to.
There is something important to be said about Slafkovsky the person. After the team’s morning skate on Nov. 11, the popular forward spoke with reporters. He was quite frank about his productivity thus far, which was well below expectations.
“I know I can do it, and I know I can be better. I just need to do it.”
A fair assessment at this junction in this season. Observers know he can do it. The previous campaign serves as all the proof anybody needs.
It’s not merely numbers that worry. He hasn’t always looked involved. He is a very good skater, can use his physicality to his benefit in the direst of occasions, and has fantastic hands. The performances on the ice this season simply haven’t lived up to expectations. During the stretch of contests when Oliver Kapanen served as the first line’s centre, one would be forgiven for questioning whether Slafkovsky was on the ice at all.
Granted, he is far more accustomed to playing with Nick Suzuki, who is a better centre than Kapanen. But to perform the disappearing act that he did was somewhat worrisome. It’s a very good thing knowing that forwards in the middle of the lineup, or even the bottom, can contribute. It indicates the health of a club’s depth. But it’s even better when a star like Slafkovsky, a player many look to in critical times, is a dependable force to be reckoned with.
More must-reads:
+
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!