Welcome to my annual player review series, where I dive into the Edmonton Oilers season player-by-player. We’ll look back at the season that was, what kind of impact each player had, and what we could see from them next season. You can read about the analytics behind my analysis here.
Make no mistake, Connor McDavid is the best hockey player on the planet.
But this season, he may not have been the best player on his own team.
It was a rough year for McDavid, who scored only 26 goals and 100 points, but the Oilers superstar played in the third-fewest regular season games of his career in a full season, lacing up for just 66 games. On a per-game and per hour rate his offensive game was still excellent for the team, and when he was on the ice, the Oilers dominated.
They dominated all of the shot attempt, scoring chance and expected goal share with McDavid on the ice in both the regular season and the playoffs, but there was one glaring issue: the goals against. His 2.9 goals against per hour at five-on-five was his worst mark in the last five years, but it’s easy to see why. The Oilers’ save percentage when McDavid was on the ice was a paltry .882 — the worst mark of his entire career — as those issues dragged into the playoffs.
Despite all that, his impacts on the game are almost second to none. He drove offence at an 18 percent rate above league average and defence at a five percent rate above league average, according to Hockey Viz. He impacted both special teams in a big way, too, with power play contributions at a seven percent rate above league average and penalty kill work at a three percent rate above league average. Overall, his impacts are nearly four-times greater than that of an average first-line player.
McDavid missed three games due to a suspension for cross-checking Vancouver Canucks winger Conor Garland in late January, and after he returned, his game wasn’t quite the same. Though he eventually found his mojo, he was injured in March game against the Winnipeg Jets that would force him out of the lineup for eight games late in the season.
He came back no worse for wear in the playoffs as he put together another solid playoffs, but when the games mattered the most against the Florida Panthers, he struggled to produce. While he racked up five assists in Games 1 and 2 of the series, the Oilers captain would have just a goal and an assist in the final four games of the Stanley Cup Final.
All of it aside, McDavid’s contract extension that will come through this summer will surely make him the highest paid player in the NHL.
Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PTS/G | PPG | SHG | GWG | SOG | S% | ATOI |
2015-2016 |
45 16 32 48 -1 18 1.07 3 0 5 105 15.2 18:53 2016-2017
82 30 70 100 27 26 1.22 3 1 6 251 12.0 21:08 2017-2018
82 41 67 108 20 26 1.32 5 1 7 274 15.0 21:33 2018-2019
78 41 75 116 3 20 1.49 9 1 9 240 17.1 22:50 2019-2020
64 34 63 97 -7 28 1.52 11 0 6 212 16.0 21:52 2020-2021
56 33 72 105 21 20 1.88 9 0 11 200 16.5 22:09 2021-2022
80 44 79 123 28 45 1.54 10 0 9 314 14.0 22:04 2022-2023
82 64 89 153 22 36 1.87 21 4 11 352 18.2 22:23 2023-2024
76 32 100 132 35 30 1.74 7 1 5 263 12.2 21:22 2024-2025
67 26 74 100 20 37 1.49 9 0 3 196 13.3 22:02 Totals: 712 361 721 1082 168 286 1.52 87 8 72 2407 15.0 21:37
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