Daily Faceoff NHL DFS Value Plays — January 6th

Welcome to Daily Faceoff’s NHL DFS Value Plays, where five days a week from Monday to Friday, I break down hockey’s main slate, looking for the top value plays.

This value sheet includes salaries, projections for DraftKings and FanDuel for the top forward and defensemen values, as well as honourable mention forwards and three punt options for blue liners. While the main value plays look at spots to get different and their upside, the others revolve around their ability to produce peripheral points by taking shots and blocking them. These players are always live for the bonus on DraftKings, where all the value plays are directed for.

These projections don’t tell you exactly what’s going to happen. One game samples have too much randomness to pin down exact predictions. Instead, the projections represent a player’s average performance if that matchup was played repeatedly. There is a wide range of possible outcomes, and the projections represent each player’s average of those possibilities.

Pierre-Luc Dubois (C, WSH2, PP2) – (DK-$3,800 / FD $5,800)
Projected points: DK – 7.9 / FD – 10.7

Dubois is stringing together some games for the Washington Capitals and over his last 10 games he’s racked up 2.9 points per hour. He’s had success against the Sabres in the past, scoring seven goals and 17 points in 18 games, and is in a prime spot to chip in more offence tonight.

Shane Wright (C, SEA3, PP2) — ($3,000 / $4,700)
Projected points: 5.4 / 7.0

He may not be somebody who jumps off the board, but Shane Wright might be playing the best hockey of his young NHL career right now. Over his last 20 games he’s scored 1.3 goals per hour, and 3.4 points per hour. He doesn’t take many shots, 5.6 per hour over that stretch, but blocks a fair amount, at 4.0 per hour. He’ll need to get on the scoresheet to pay off, but he isn’t very price restrictive on a small slate.

Gustav Forsling (D, FLA-1) — ($4,300 / $5,600)
Projected points: 8.1 / 10.1

While Forsling won’t be on the top power play unit, he’ll see a bump in ice-time tonight with Aaron Ekblad out of the lineup. He’s been on a tear as of late, averaging 9.7 DraftKings points per game over his last 10.

Adam Larsson (D, SEA-1) — ($2,900 / $4,200)
Projected points: 5.6 / 6.8

Another Kraken player here, but Larsson has been solid as of late, taking 3.3 shots on goal per hour and blocking 6.5 shots per hour over his last 20 games. In a game where he’ll see lots of ice-time against a team who loves to fire the puck, he should be live for the bonus.

Honourable mention forwards

1. Stefan Noesen (W, NJD1, PP1) — ($4,400/$5,600) — Projected points: DK – 8.6 / FD – 11.2
2. Kiefer Sherwood (W, VAN3, PP2) — ($3,400/$4,900) — 7.1 / 9.0

Top Punt Defensemen

1. Brett Pesce (NJD-3) — ($3,000/$4,400) — Projected points: DK – 6.7 / FD – 7.7
2. Tyler Myers (VAN-1) — ($3,500/$4,100) — 5.7 / 7.2

Tune into the DFO DFS Report live at 5:00 PM EST!