Examining the Sabres’ Alex Tuch dilemma

Tuch will be 30 by the time he starts an extension, and if Buffalo went to seven or eight years on term, he would be in his late 30s on a high-ticket contract. Now, that’s not to say he would get such a term, but he will undoubtedly be seeking the most extended contract possible since it’s very likely that he might not sign another lucrative deal after this one.

There is no disputing Tuch’s on-ice value, leadership, or the fact that he is a fan favorite in Buffalo. However, the Sabres must ask themselves what is best for the franchise’s future. Do they want to pay top dollar for a forward on the wrong side of 30 years old? Can they get a lucrative return if they trade him this summer? And what message would they be sending their fans (and other Sabres players) if they moved on from Tuch and Peterka in the same summer?

Buffalo is uniquely positioned as a franchise, not in a good way. They haven’t made the playoffs since 2010-11 and haven’t finished higher than fifth in their division since 2011-12. The team has undergone multiple unsuccessful rebuilds, but it has finally assembled a solid core of players to build around. However, if they trade Tuch and Peterka for futures instead of roster players, veterans like Tage Thompson and Rasmus Dahlin may start to grow restless, fearing it could lead to another few seasons of losing. At the same time, they wait for the young players to develop.

Tuch is a candidate for an extension, given his performance and intangibles. Examining the Sabres’ history as an organization, it is evident that they have often prioritized culture and loyalty over results. If that pattern continues, Tuch will likely be re-signed. This situation isn’t unique to Buffalo, as it’s common for teams to extend contracts for players they know may age poorly in the latter half, understanding that Buffalo’s loyalty could lead them to retain Tuch.

On the flip side, Buffalo has yet to experience a winning season during Tuch’s time with the team, and perhaps it’s time for the Sabres to allow new leadership voices to emerge. It’s not a reflection on Tuch as a player or person, but sometimes, when an organization struggles for too long, the old guard needs to depart before a fresh culture can develop. This has occurred with many teams trying to turn a corner after a rebuild, and often, teams recognize the need to part with veteran players to make way for younger stars to step up as leaders. Edmonton did this when they moved on from Taylor Hall in 2016, and nearly 20 years ago, the Penguins followed suit by letting go of almost every veteran, effectively entrusting the team to their young stars, Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin.

Another factor for Buffalo to consider is that there are very few teams selling right now, which could increase their return on Tuch, as some teams will be left empty-handed after the initial scramble of unrestricted free agency. Buffalo could wait a bit after July 1 to assess the trade market and see if any moves pique their interest; if not, they could then consider an extension. There are a few wingers available, such as Rickard Rakell and Bryan Rust, who will be cheaper from a cap-hit perspective, but with Tuch being a few years younger, he could fetch a better haul than either of those players.

Buffalo finds itself in a tough spot with Tuch, and time is running out. If they can’t either move him or extend his contract, they risk losing him for nothing a year from now or trading him at the NHL Trade Deadline for a lesser return. Neither scenario is ideal for Buffalo, which is why they need to act promptly. The situation would be less complicated if they weren’t also trying to move Peterka, but this is the reality the Sabres are facing, and they must choose a direction.