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NHL best bets: Four plus-money props for Wednesday 2/8

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 2/8/23

Just two games tonight in the NHL, and after last night's poor showing on the ice, a smaller slate feels like the right time to find us our favorite spots and quickly move on.

We're looking at four total prop plays, honed in on the home skaters this evening.

Filip Chytil over 2.5 SOG (+100 FD)

New York should find plenty of space to operate tonight at home against Vancouver. The Canucks have solidified themselves as one of the worst defensive teams in the league, and until they prove they can slow down shots and goals over a sustained period, they are a nightly target.

With the Rangers averaging 34.1 shots per game over their last 10 home games and the Canucks allowing 33.6 on the road in the same stretch, New York shots was my first stop today.

I'm drawn to Filip Chytil, the third-line center who has finished with four shots on goal in three of his last four games. The attempts have been solid here, averaging 5.25 per game in his last four.

Chytil has an elite shot floor over his last 26 games, logging 2+ shots 22 times. I like seeing that steady involvement, and with a more consistent role than he had at the beginning of the year, this feels like the right time to bank on him going over 2.5.

Chytil is skating with a ton of confidence at the moment thanks to netting six goals in his past four games. Vancouver has allowed 4.4 goals per game in their past 10 on the road, and it hasn't mattered much who is in net for the Canucks. Chytil's point is around -130 which feels like a fine choice, but I'm riding with the hot-hand with a bet on him to score.

.5u: Chytil goal (+175 CZR)

Tyler Seguin over 2.5 SOG (+120 FD)

Dallas looks to be in a great spot for shots on net, and something about the Stars seeing the Wild has brought out the best by just about everyone on the roster. It made it a bit difficult to hone in on my favorites, and I had to double-dip because of it.

We'll start with Tyler Seguin, who admittedly hasn't been very consistent at this line. Seguin has gone under in five straight games and has hit this number in just 47% of games this year, so what gives?

A few things. When looking at positional data, it appears one of Minnesota's biggest vulnerabilities is shots from the RW position, which is where Seguin resides.

The far bigger factor has been Seguin's history against the Wild. In his last three games against Minnesota, Seguin has piled up shot totals of four, six and nine. The success does not stop there, nor does it typically lack in volume. In 39 career games against Minnesota, Seguin is averaging 4.28 shots/game. Looking a bit more recently, Seguin has gone for three or more shots in nine of his last 11.

It's hard to ignore that past success, and at these odds, I'm willing to dance.

Jason Robertson over 3.5 SOG (+115 MGM)

It's strange to see Jason Robertson at this price, especially when you consider he's fresh off a seven SOG game on 17(!) attempts.

Robertson is another who has cruised against the Wild, and considering they're allowing 33 shots per game in their past 10 road games, there should be plenty to go around.

Robertson has 5+ SOG in four straight against Minnesota, three times seeing six or more SOG.

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