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NHL best bets: How to bet these Stanley Cup playoff series
Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

NHL best bets: How to bet these Stanley Cup playoff series

The Stanley Cup playoffs have arrived. We have four series getting going tonight and four more tomorrow. We'll begin with the eight teams squaring off tonight, a look at the betting odds for each series and for Game 1, and how we'll likely be approaching each from a betting perspective.

WC1 New York Islanders vs. No. 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Odds to win series: Carolina -205 | New York +165

Game 1 odds

  • Puckline: Carolina -1.5 (+155), New York +1.5 (-180)
  • Moneyline: Carolina -165, New York +140
  • Over/under: 5.5 goals (+110)

Carolina and New York have met four times this season, with the Hurricanes taking three wins in a row. On the year, Carolina has been one of the tightest defensive teams in the league, allowing the fewest shots per game and the second-fewest goals per game.

The Islanders sport a solid defense in their own right, and we can certainly understand why this game is set at just 5.5 total goals.

Carolina has not been the same team since losing star winger Andrei Svechnikov to a torn ACL, going 9-9-1 in his absence. Since the Islanders acquired Bo Horvat, the team has gone 17-9-4, slowly climbing their way up the wild card race in the East.

From a value standpoint, we like the Islanders to win the series at +165. We also don't expect to load up too many props in this series as it projects to be tight.

Betting view: Islanders to win series (+165). Focus on unders for playoff props as we expect the defenses and goalies to reign supreme.

WC2 Florida Panthers vs. No. 1 Boston Bruins

Odds to win series: Boston -320 | Florida +250

Game 1 odds

  • Puckline: Boston -1.5 (+120), Florida +1.5 (-140)
  • Moneyline: Boston -225, Florida +190
  • Over/under: 6 goals (-125)

This has the potential to be the highest-scoring and most explosive series of the first round. All four of these teams' matchups in the regular saw goal totals of seven and more, and both sides have had their recent issues with penalties, which should open things up from a shooting and scoring perspective.

As far the series goes, Boston was the NHL's best team this year by quite the margin, setting the NHL record for most points and wins in a regular season. Boston should advance, but there's hardly any betting value to be had in loading them up at this price.

Instead, focus on the overs and some Shots on Goal (SOG) props as we see two of the best offenses go at it.

Betting view: Bet the over, and look for SOG props from power play shot leaders like David Pastrnak and Matthew Tkachuk

No. 3 Minnesota Wild vs. No. 2 Dallas Stars

Odds to win series: Dallas -145 | Minnesota +125

Game 1 odds

  • Puckline: Dallas -1.5 (+195), Minnesota +1.5 (-230)
  • Moneyline: Dallas -140, Minnesota +120
  • Over/under: 5.5 goals (+100)

The Wild vs. Stars figures to be one of the tightest series of Round 1, evidenced by the prices on each to advance to Round 2.

These teams split their regular-season matchups, but Dallas appears to be the team worth backing in this one. The Stars bring a strong balance to the table, and their power play has been running on all cylinders in the home stretch of the season. They also enter the postseason on a six-game winning streak, while the Wild are still easing star Kirill Kaprizov back into action.

Dallas is scoring at a steady clip and thrice scored four or more goals against Minnesota this season. We'd expect some tight games between the two, but the Stars appear set to dictate the offensive pace throughout.

Betting view: Dallas to win the series (-145)

No. 3 Los Angeles Kings vs. No. 2 Edmonton Oilers

Odds to win series: Edmonton -260 | Los Angeles +210

Game 1 odds

  • Puckline: Edmonton -1.5 (+140), Los Angeles +1.5 (-165)
  • Moneyline: Edmonton -195, Los Angeles +165
  • Over/under: 6.5 goals (-110)

Now this one is going to be fun. We have a rematch of last year's Round 1 series that went to seven games, a series that Edmonton ultimately won. The Kings and Oilers each grabbed a win at home and on the road against each other this year, so we would not be surprised in the slightest to see this series go 6-7 games.

The Oilers have the best player on the planet in Connor McDavid and can call upon the experience gleaned from last year's Western Conference Final run. We do expect Edmonton to advance, but it feels likely to be a back-and-forth affair.

In last season's series, the over went past 6.5 just three times, but more often than not, we were seeing a heavy dosage of shots from both ends. We'll be looking to these offenses for a bulk of our SOG props, and don't be shy on exploring some goalie saves props either.

Betting view: Good series to load up SOG props and goalie saves props. Anze Kopitar has covered his SOG line in 13 of the past 15 meetings with the Oilers, and Evander Kane is over his SOG prop in 10 of the past 12 against Los Angeles. 

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

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