NHL bets: Four plus-money plays for Wednesday 1/11

There's been line shifting for the Flyers over the past few weeks, but seeing Hayes maintain some consistency lately has given me the confidence to go his way this evening.

There's been rumors that Kevin Hayes could be a trade target, which to me only makes me like his shots a bit more if he's attempting to shoot his way off this team and pad the ol' box score.

Evgeny Kuznetsov point & Kevin Fiala over 2.5 SOG (+165 DK)

I've been wrestling with how to play the Washington game. I like their team total at over 2.5, and I expect them to notch a power-play goal, as they've scored on the power play against Philly in five straight meetings. I considered Kuznetsov's PPP, but I'll take the safer path and just load him up for a point.

He has a point in eight straight road games and has accumulated six points in his past four meetings with the Flyers. A majority of these points have been on the power play, FWIW.

Fiala shots has been nearly automatic in Los Angeles this season and is worth playing for as long as it sits at 2.5. Fiala has gone over this number in 17 of his last 20 at home and he has 4+ SOG in six of his past eight in LA.

The Sharks are allowing 31 shots per game on the road and Fiala had six shots on goal at home against San Jose a month ago.

Connor McDavid over 1.5 points & Los Angeles over 2.5 goals in regulation (+121 DK)

I originally wanted to load up on Edmonton over 2.5 goals as a safe floor play, but that brought this combo to only -130. I initially turned to 3.5 goals instead, but at that point, one has to imagine McDavid would get in on the fun, so I've pivoted to including him here against the Ducks.

Edmonton is clearly in a strong spot for scoring tonight against Anaheim, and McDavid has loved to face this team over the past few seasons. McDavid has logged 2+ points in six straight games against the Ducks, four times logging three points. Anaheim is allowing 3.8 goals per game at home and John Gibson has been a sieve, allowing 4+ goals in three of his last four starts.

We pair with the Kings to find three goals in regulation. On paper, they should get there easily, averaging 3.4 goals per game at home while San Jose allows an equal amount on the road. The Sharks are on a back-to-back and likely to trot out goalie James Reimer, who has allowed 22 goals in his past five games. Los Angeles has won three straight against San Jose, scoring 3+ each time.

.5u: Trevor Zegras over 2.5 SOG (+108 FD)

I do think the Ducks can put up 30 shots of their own against an Edmonton team that allows nearly 34 per game on the road. 

Trevor Zegras has been incredibly up and down at home, but the volume can't be ignored. Over the last 10 games, Zegras has averaged 6.8 attempts per game at home compared to just 3.9 per game on the road.

Lately he's been switching off between a huge shooting night and a quiet one, and by that pattern, it's time to for another big game. Six times over the last 10 at home Zegras has finished with 8+ attempts. In his past four against the Oilers, he's twice finished with four shots and three times tallied six or more attempts.

In his only home game against Edmonton, he finished with four SOG. I like Zegras here but the lack of consistency will bring this to just a half-unit wager.