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New York Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin (31). Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

NHL odds, preview, prediction: Panthers vs. Rangers for Monday, March 4

Originally posted on Action Network
By Jessica Gonsalves | Last updated Mar 4, 2024 2:59 PM ET

Here's everything you need to know about the Florida Panthers vs. New York Rangers on Monday, March 4 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.

Monday’s NHL matchup between the Florida Panthers (41-16-4) and New York Rangers (40-17-4) promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both Eastern Conference teams boasting significant strengths and weaknesses that could influence the outcome of the game.

A deep dive into each teams' advanced metrics is essential to making an informed betting decision as merely focusing on their respective records and previous matchups doesn't paint the clearest picture regarding these two opponents.

So, let's dive into the metrics and make a pick for Panthers vs. Rangers.

Panthers vs. Rangers Odds

Monday, March 4, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+

Panthers Odds	-125
Rangers Odds	+105
Over / Under	6 +100 / -120

Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute

Florida Panthers

The Panthers have been a force offensively this season, ranking third in Corsi, which measures shot attempt differential, and seventh in expected goals (xG).

Florida’s fifth-place ranking in high-danger chances further emphasizes its ability to threaten in the offensive zone.

The Panthers’ offensive prowess is complemented by a robust defense, which is third in Corsi Against, leading the league in xG Against and ranks second in high-danger chances against.

Sergei Bobrovsky's outstanding goaltending, which ranks seventh in save percentage and fourth in goals saved above expected, fortifies the Panthers' net, making them a challenging opponent for any team.

Florida, both in the standings and advanced metrics, has proven to be one of the best teams in the league.

New York Rangers

The Rangers present a contrasting profile, with their offense ranking 18th in Corsi, 20th in xG and 19th in high-danger chances. These metrics highlight a middle-of-the-pack offense that struggles to consistently create high-quality scoring opportunities.

Defensively, the Rangers find themselves in a more precarious position, ranking 21st in Corsi Against, 27th in xG Against and 26th in high-danger chances against.

However, starter Igor Shesterkin provides a glimmer of hope as he ranks 16th in save percentage and eighth in goals saved above expected, which offers the Rangers a chance to compete in games where their defense falters.

Panthers vs. Rangers

Betting Pick & Prediction

After considering all the relevant data, taking the Panthers moneyline emerges as the best bet for tonight’s game.

The Panthers' offensive and defensive metrics highlight their ability to dominate possession, create high-quality scoring opportunities and effectively limit their opponents' chances. Bobrovsky's excellence further tips the scales in favor of Florida.

The Rangers, while not without their strengths, particularly in goaltending, face significant challenges in matching the Panthers' offensive depth and defensive solidity.

Betting on the Panthers moneyline not only aligns with the statistical analysis, but also considers the broader narrative of the matchup, including the Panthers' ambition to solidify their standing as a top contender, and the Rangers' efforts to overcome defensive vulnerabilities.

Take the Panthers moneyline (-120) at Caesars and expect a 4-2 final.