NHL Tuesday bets: Eight prop plays for a loaded night

It was nice to win some bets in the NHL Monday on the one-game slate. We're back to a packed night, with 13 games to dig into for this Tuesday evening.

It's looking like a solid night for prop value, both for shots on goal (SOG) and points. Here are eight plays that stick out.

Mika Zibanejad over 2.5 SOG (-105 DK)

The first play of the day is built on power play opportunities allowed (PPOA), which is how I'm viewing power play advantages from now on. I used to reference penalties per game, but that was an imperfect view, as it accounted for fighting penalties where no power play was created.

With PPOA established as the new standard here, Carolina is a good target, averaging the seventh-most in their past 10 games.

Zibanejad leads the Rangers in power play shots in their past 20 games, and has really picked up his shots lately. 

Zibanejad has gone over 2.5 in four of six, averaging 5.17 attempts per game in that span. He's hit in two of three against Carolina this season, including five against them two weeks ago.

This is also a massive game for the Rangers, and I expect the stars to show out at home and get the puck on net. That starts with Zibanejad.

Steven Stamkos over 1.5 points (+140 CZR)

Stamkos and the Lightning are absolutely rolling, and I'm willing to follow that success here against a Columbus team allowing 3.9 goals per game in their past 10 road games.

Stamkos has 17 points in his past six games. Re-read that. 17 points in his last six games.

Parlay: Evander Kane over 2.5 SOG & Johnny Gaudreau over 2.5 SOG (+158 CZR)

I really like this combo here at +158. 

Kane will face a Pittsburgh team that has been getting pummeled by shots lately, allowing 37.6 shots per game in their past 10 at home. Kane has been on fire shooting the puck, going over 2.5 in nine of his last 11 and piling up 17 shots in his past three.

The second-leg goes to Johnny Gaudreau, who will see a Nashville team he's had success against, covering his SOG in both previous meetings. The Predators are allowing 32.3 shots per game at home in their last 10 games and Gaudreau has covered his shots prop in four straight and eight of nine on the road.

Morgan Rielly over 2.5 SOG (+110 DK)

I'll gladly take these odds for a defensemen against Detroit, especially someone like Morgan Rielly.

Detroit is allowing the second-most shots per game to defensemen and 34 shots per game overall on the road of late.

Rielly has been a bit up and down, but I like the situation here for him to get to three shots. He's averaging nearly five shot attempts per game and had four SOG against the Red Wings when they last met.

Ryan Hartman over 2.5 SOG (-125 CZR)

Centers against Arizona are kind of set and forget for me, and we roll with Minnesota's top line center, who brings solid volume with him.

Hartman has hit in three straight games and is averaging 4.5 SOG in two games against Arizona this season, going over both games. 

I'm okay with these odds against a team like the Coyotes, who are allowing 35 shots per game on the road in their past 10 games. Since the beginning of March, no team allows more shots to centers than Arizona.

Tyler Seguin over 2.5 SOG (-130 DK)

Tyler Seguin has been on another level lately, covering his SOG in seven of eight and eight of his past 10 at home.

There's a narrative focus here that I like following. Dallas clinches a playoff spot with a win over Vegas, and will surely be motivated to do just that. Success is going to start with some pucks on net, and considering how involved Seguin has been, I like it to continue in a big game.

Seguin has hit his SOG in both games against the Golden Knights this season. On the road, Vegas is seeing 30 shots against them in the past 10, and since March 1, Vegas is allowing the 13th-most shots per game to centers.

Give me Seguin at slightly juiced odds. Feel free to parlay him if you prefer that approach.

Timo Meier over 3.5 SOG (-120 DK)

This was one of the first plays of the day that really stood out, and at -120, I'm in.

First, the opponent. Anaheim has been getting peppered lately, allowing 35.5 shots per game on the road in the last 10 and 40.4 in their past five.

That's a team I need to target, and Timo Meier is the constant on the San Jose end. He's covered his SOG in 68% of home games this season and is averaging an absurd 8.2 shot attempts per game in his past 10.

The kicker is his success against the Ducks. In three games this season, Meier is averaging 6.7 SOG, finishing with nine, five and five.

Parlay: Joel Eriksson Ek point & Quinn Hughes assist (+153 CZR)

The final play of the day is a parlay I like quite a bit. We're targeting two teams I expect to score plenty in Minnesota and Vancouver.

The Canucks are scoring 5.0 goals per game in their past five at home while Seattle is letting in 3.6 on the road in the same span. The Wild are averaging an even-higher 5.6 goals/game in their L5 at home, while Arizona is surrendering 5.8 goals on the road in their past five.

Both games are quite appealing from a team total standpoint, and I want points plays from each.

Eriksson Ek is my preferred target on Minnesota. He's got six points in his last two games and has one point in both games against Arizona this year. As I mentioned with Hartman above, centers have had their way against the Coyotes, and that logic extends to Eriksson Ek.

He's also on the top power play unit, and Arizona ranks tied for seventh in PPOA in the past 10 games.

Another power play target is Seattle, tied for first in PPOA, which stands to benefit the Canucks even more.

Quinn Hughes is a member of that top power play line and has been steady with assists lately. Hughes has eight assists in his last six games, and has one in all three previous meetings with the Kraken.

Load me up this 2-leg parlay at a solid +153.

Best of luck tonight, let's stack some winning days in the NHL!