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June 28, 2024: MLB best bets: When these guys get on, you'll get Over

Cash yesterday's Ks play, and if you laddered them up a number, you walked away a winner as well! We'll stick with baseball and turn to some bats to power our Friday looks on the diamond.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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MLB best bets: When these guys get on, you'll get Over

Dodgers' Freddie Freeman (left) and Toronto's Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (right). USA TODAY Sports photos

Cash yesterday's Ks play, and if you laddered them up a number, you walked away a winner as well! We'll stick with baseball and turn to some bats to power our Friday looks on the diamond.

Backing the bats to rack up some bases

Betting: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 total bases (-105 BetMGM)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might be the hottest bat in the league at the moment. He is over this 1.5 total bases line in five of his last six games, logging 4+ TB each time. He has 2+ hits in every single one of those games and has a homer in four of them.

The Blue Jays slugger is heating up, and we need to ride the wave. Guerrero has a solid .333 average off today's pitcher Marcus Stroman in nine plate appearances, and he hits RHP better on the season. Load up Vladdy tonight, and feel free to ladder up his total bases prop if you'd like.

Betting: Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases (+118 Caesars)

This is a tremendous price on Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman. Freeman has 2+ total bases in four straight games and six of his last seven, and he absolutely loves facing off against San Francisco's Logan Webb.

In 33 plate appearances, Freeman is hitting .452 off Webb with 10 singles, three doubles and a homer. We'll gladly pair that history with Freeman's hitting streak.


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In the news ...

Bronny James drafted by Lakers — As we all expected, the Los Angeles Lakers did indeed secure Bronny James in the draft, pairing him with his dad LeBron James. Whether or not he is able to contribute at the NBA level remains to be seen, but there's no denying it's a cool story that we have our first-ever father-son pairing on an NBA team. This would be a donation so please don't bet it, but we're obligated to share that Bronny James is 300-1 to win Rookie of the Year this coming season.

NHL draft is tonight — The NHL Draft begins tonight, and San Jose's top pick will be Macklin Celebrini, who won the Hobey Baker Award this past season at Boston University. After that, there are plenty of intriguing prospects at the top of the draft, and there are sure to be a bevy of trades later in the day from teams looking to add proven pieces right now. Expect a few teams to make deals that could impact the futures market. One such club is New Jersey, as the Devils have been rumored to be shopping the 10th overall pick for a solid forward. We grabbed their Stanley Cup odds at +1300 just in case a big trade jumps their price.

USMNT loses to Panama as -300 favorite — Panama is proving to be the U.S. Men's National Team's Achilles' heel. The team that ultimately kept them out of the World Cup back in 2018 has continued to give the U.S. trouble since, and it was Panama once again winning yesterday during the Copa America group play, 2-1, as +700 underdogs. The U.S. will look to rebound quickly to advance to the Round of 16, they'll need a win over Uruguay on Monday to help do it, and they're currently +150 to do so.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll. Follow him on Substack: griffybets.substack.com.

Quick Picks

1 Anthony Santander over 0.5 home runs 


Baltimore's Anthony Santander has had Max Scherzer's number in limited at-bats, hitting two homers in seven plate appearances. That's history we can get behind, especially when we see Santander has four HRs in his last nine games and four in his last six at home.

Latest Odds:  +390
2 Shohei Ohtani over 0.5 home runs 

Ohtani is on an outrageous tear right now, hitting a homer in seven of his last 10 games. He has yet to hit a HR off Logan Webb in nine plate appearances, but Ohtani is hitting .429 off Webb, so he's shown the ability to get a good read on his pitches. We'll ride the hot streak at this price.

Latest Odds:  +500
3 Aaron Judge over 0.5 home runs 


Aaron Judge failed to hit a HR yesterday, and the past three times that happened, he proceeded to knock a dinger the next game. Judge has two homers off Toronto's Yusei Kikuchi, and he hits lefties better for power. Sign us up for a Judge long ball this evening.

Latest Odds:  +210

4 Atlanta Dream @ Connecticut Sun

Atlanta has been one of the WNBA's worst teams over the last 10 games, sitting on a -10.2 net-rating thanks to a horrid offense. That's a bad place to be against Connecticut, who will be able to stifle them defensively and dictate pace on the offensive end. Grab the Sun -10.
Friday, 7:30 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Dream
+10.5 (-115) +410 > 149.5 (-105)
Sun
-10 (-108) -485 < 149.5 (-105)
5 Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury

Neither side plays particularly strong defense, especially Los Angeles. That pairs with both sides owning above-average pace of play stats, which adds up to plenty of points from our point of view. We'll follow those numbers and load up over 168.5 points tonight.
Friday, 10:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Sparks
+10.5 (-105) +455 > 168.5 (-112)
Mercury
-10 (-114) -588 < 168.5 (-110)

Betting News & Notes

MLB Opening Pitch: McGrath's expert picks, odds, preview for Fri. 6/28 

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Summer of Soccer best bets for 6/28: Brazil faces the music

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MLB parlay: Dodgers vs. Giants +433 same-game parlay for Fri. 6/28 

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NFL futures: Our four favorite bets from the NFC

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MLB strikeout props for 6/28: Call him Bailey Over

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WNBA betting: Sparks vs. Mercury odds, picks, predictions for Fri. 6/28

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MLB home run props for 6/28: Big hitter, bigger price on Shohei

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UFC 303 odds, pick and prediction for Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes: Right side of co-main event Sat. 6/29

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For all the latest betting news, check out the
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