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October 10, 2024: 'TNF' + SGP = $$$

We're in the heat of MLB playoffs right now, but we can't let Thursday come and go without getting some action down on "Thursday Night Football." 

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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'TNF' + SGP = $$$

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (85). Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

We're in the heat of MLB playoffs right now, but we can't let Thursday come and go without getting some action down on "Thursday Night Football." The Seattle Seahawks are hosting the San Francisco 49ers this week in a crucial NFC West showdown, and we've got you covered with a Same Game Parlay to bulk up our bankroll for the weekend. 

Bankroll-building SGP for 'TNF'

Leg 1: George Kittle 60+ receiving yards

The weakness of this Seahawks defense is down the middle of the field, and the 49ers will look to exploit that with Kittle in the passing game. Seattle gave up 109 yards to Hunter Henry, 53 yards to Sam LaPorta and 48 yards to Theo Johnson. Kittle is the best tight end in that group, and he's averaging 92.3 receiving yards in his last four games against the Seahawks. We like buying this prop up for some extra juice. 

Leg 2: Kenneth Walker over 83.5 rushing + receiving yards

In last week's loss to the New York Giants, Walker rushed only five times for 19 yards. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb specifically mentioned this week that was a mistake on his part, and he needs to get the ball in Walker's hands more. We don't know whether that'll be on the ground or through the air, but Walker has recorded 11 catches for 93 over the last two games. We'll roll with the rushing + receiving prop and hope Grubb executes his game plan. 

Leg 3: Zach Charbonnet under 13.5 rushing yards

Charbonnet is operating as the passing-down running back behind Walker. The backup RB played only 36 percent of the team's offensive snaps last week, and he's recorded only two carries in each of the last two games. If the Seahawks want to get Walker even more involved in the offense, that correlates to Charbonnet seeing fewer touches in the running game. 

Put it all together, and we get a +620 SGP on FanDuel. Let's cash!


In the news ...

Mets advance to NLCS; Dodgers force Game 5 — We officially have our first team in the championship round, as the New York Mets knocked off the Philadelphia Phillies, 4-1, in Game 4 to advance to the NLCS. Francisco Lindor was the hero with a grand slam in the sixth inning. In the other NLDS, the Dodgers walloped the San Diego Padres, 8-0, to force a Game 5. Los Angeles is -138 to win and advance to the NLCS to face the Mets. 

Yankees, Tigers win crucial Game 4s in ALDS — Over in the American League, the New York Yankees took down the Kansas City Royals, 3-2, in Game 3 to take a 2-1 lead in the series. The Detroit Tigers did the same with a 3-0 victory against the Cleveland Guardians. New York is -156 to close out the series in Game 4 with Gerrit Cole on the mound, while Detroit is +100 to win its Game 4. 

Rafael Nadal to retire from tennis — A legend is walking away from the game. Nadal announced on Thursday that he plans on retiring at the end of the 2024 season. The 38-year-old won 22 Grand Slams, including 14 French Open titles. His final tournament will be playing for Spain in the Davis Cup this November. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 Tanner Bibee under 4.5 strikeouts

Bibee has just a 20.0 percent strikeout rate against current Tigers hitters through 105 plate appearances, and he'll be on a short leash in a must-win Game 4. Guardians manager Stephen Vogt won't hesitate to call on his elite bullpen at the first sign of trouble. 

Latest Odds:  +115
2 Maikel Garcia to record a hit

Garcia is batting .316 in the postseason, and he's 5-13 (.385) in the ALDS. The Royals third baseman is also 4-7 (.571) in his career against Cole. This price should be closer to -200.

Latest Odds:  -175
3 49ers @ Seahawks first half over 24.5

"Thursday Night Football" could be a shootout early on. Charvarius Ward is questionable, and the 49ers are already down Dre Greenlaw, Javon Hargrave, Jordan Elliott, Talanoa Hufanga and Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles. On the other side, Riq Woolen has been ruled out, and three other defensive starters are questionable. We expect plenty of scoring before the DCs have a chance to adjust at halftime. 

Latest Odds:  -110

Betting News & Notes

MLB Opening Pitch: Zerillo's expert picks, odds, preview for Thursday, Oct. 10

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San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks predictions, odds, preview: NFL picks for 'Thursday Night Football'

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MLB betting: ALDS best bets for Thursday, 10/10

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NFL Week 6: Dougherty's betting guide 

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Yankees vs. Royals prediction, pick, odds for ALDS Game 4 on Thursday, Oct. 10

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Thursday college football odds, picks: How we’re betting tonight’s NCAAF games for Oct. 10

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49ers vs. Seahawks parlay for +1245 'Thursday Night Football' SGP

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NFL Week 6 odds, spreads, totals: Expert projections for every game

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