We're just over two months into the 2024 MLB season and while it's still early, there's more than enough information to rank our three leading candidates for each MVP Award.
For our list, we selected candidates based on a player’s production and, to a lesser extent, team success. With that in mind, here are our three leading MVP candidates in each league so far this season.
Statistics and records are through Sunday's games
1. OF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
After struggling mightily to start the season, the 2022 AL MVP is batting .388 with 38 hits, 14 home runs, 27 RBI and 30 runs scored over his last 29 games. Judge's performance in May stands out as one of the greatest offensive months in MLB history, and Jeff Passan of ESPN dug into the numbers to prove it. Overall, Judge leads the majors in homers (21), slugging (.685), OPS (1.075), fWAR (four) and wRC+ (192, MLB average is 100). If he continues this torrid pace, he should run away with his second MVP Award.
Aaron Judge in May, by the numbers:
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) June 1, 2024
- 14 home runs (next most: 11)
- 1.415 OPS (next best: 1.061)
- .488 OBP (next best: .447)
- .928 SLG (next best: .686)
- 100-mph average EV (next best: 98.3)
- .371 BA (behind only Luis Arráez's .389)
- 27 RBIs (behind only Jose Ramírez's 33)
2. OF Juan Soto, New York Yankees
According to MLB.com's Sarah Langs, teammates have finished 1-2 in MVP balloting on seven occasions, and this season could ultimately mark the eighth instance the feat occurs. Soto, New York's prized offseason acquisition, has been the most consistent hitter in MLB this season, but his ranking second in our MVP rankings is a testament to how absurd Judge has been playing lately. Soto, a three-time All-Star, is on his way to securing one of the biggest contracts of all time this offseason, slashing .322/.417/.614 with 17 home runs and 53 RBI.
3. SS Gunnar Henderson, Baltimore Orioles
Last season's AL Rookie of the Year Award winner has quickly established himself as one of the top talents in the majors, ranking third among position players in fWAR (3.7). Henderson is slashing .268/.368/.591 with 19 home runs, 42 RBI and eight stolen bases through 57 games this season, showing rare power from the leadoff spot. In fact, Henderson's 19 homers from the leadoff spot are the most in MLB, with Phillies DH/OF Kyle Schwarber's 11 being the next closest.
Honorable mentions: Royals SS Bobby Witt Jr., Astros OF Kyle Tucker
1. SS Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers
Hall of Famer Frank Robinson is the only player in MLB history to win the MVP Award in both leagues, though that could change this season if our two leading NL MVP candidates continue to thrive. Betts, the 2018 AL MVP, has gotten off to a blistering start, slashing .318/.412/.515 with nine homers and 32 RBI for the star-studded Dodgers. It shouldn't be overlooked that this is Betts' first season as a full-time shortstop, which only adds to his value and makes his success that much more impressive.
2. DH Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers
Despite costing $700M to sign, Ohtani has been well worth the investment for the Dodgers. While he is strictly a designated hitter this season, Ohtani somehow still remains one of the most valuable players in MLB, compiling the seventh-highest fWAR (2.9) among position players. The two-time American League MVP also ranks fourth in batting average (.322) and slugging (.596) and third in wRC+ (180).
3. 1B Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies
The gap between Betts, Ohtani and everyone else is significant. However, Harper, who is now another year removed from Tommy John surgery, has been the top performer from a hitting perspective on the best team in the National League this season. The seven-time All-Star is batting .270 with 14 homers, 44 RBI and a 149 wRC+, the seventh-highest in the National League.
Honorable mentions: Brewers catcher William Contreras, Braves DH Marcell Ozuna
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