A somewhat unexpected goalie matchup is set for the 2024 Stanley Cup Final -- which makes things extra interesting when placing prop bets on their performances.
Sergei Bobrovsky has led the Florida Panthers back to the Cup Final after outplaying New York Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin, who was the favorite heading into the Eastern Conference Final with an impressive .927 save percentage. He will continue his battle for Lord Stanley's Mug against Stuart Skinner, who was seen as inferior to Jake Oettinger right up to the point that the Edmonton Oilers topped the Dallas Stars out West.
So how does DraftKings think these two will tend twine in Game 1 the Final? Could there even be a shutout between these two high-scoring teams?
Here's a look at the odds.
Stuart Skinner has turned it around for the @EdmontonOilers pic.twitter.com/fZKHjEV940
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) June 3, 2024
Saves in Game 1: Bobrovsky O/U 24.5 (-110, -120) Skinner O/U 27.5 (-105, -125). It may seem odd that the Under is favored for both goalies given the number of goals both teams scored in the conference final matchups. However, Bobrovsky has hit the Under on saves in three of his last four starts and Skinner has hit it in four straight before the Stars peppered him with shots in the final game of that series.
That being said, Shesterkin had to make 184 stops on the Panthers last round while Skinner made 143 compared to Oettinger's 145. so Florida appears more likely to be causing chaos in this department.
The Panthers have averaged 33.24 shots per game in the 2024 playoffs, so betting the Over to hit for Skinner at slightly longer odds is a better bet. Meanwhile, the Oilers only mustered up 10 shots on goal in Game 6 against Dallas, so Bobrovsky to hit the Under seems very likely.
Goals-Against in Game 1: Bobrovsky O/U 2.5 (-115, -115) Skinner O/U 3.5 (+135, -175). While the jury at DK appears to be out on Bob, they seem certain Skinner will keep the Panthers from clawing their way up the scoreboard.
Despite the high volume of shots Florida puts at the net, they only scored more than three goals five times in 17 playoff games and just once in the last series against New York. Scoring three goals appears to be the Panthers' sweet spot, so betting Skinner to hit the Under here makes sense.
Shutout in Game 1: Bobrovsky Y/N (+900, -1900) Skinner Y/N (+1300, -3200). For context, a goalie hasn't gotten a shutout in the Stanley Cup Final since Roberto Luongo and Tim Thomas each had two in 2011. Hence the long odds for either Bobrovsky or Skinner to do so in Game 1.
Bobrovsky and Skinner each have one shutout under their belts in these playoffs. The two-time Vezina Trophy winner has shorter odds in this category since he more recently blanked the Rangers in the Eastern Conference Final, while Skinner's shutout was in the first round against the L.A. Kings.
Frankly, this writer doesn't think either of these goaltenders is going to shut out goal scorers like Connor McDavid or Sam Bennett in Game 1. But if you insist on placing this wager, Bobrovsky is your best shot at getting a return on your bet.
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