Stanley Cup Final bets: Latest betting look at the series and the Conn Smythe

We're staring at a 2-0 Stanley Cup Final series lead with the Florida Panthers taking down Edmonton on Monday, but obviously there is plenty of hockey still to be played. They often say a series doesn't start until a road team wins, and the Oilers are 6-3 at home this postseason and will be doing all they can on Thursday to make this a series after all.

Updated odds to win the Stanley Cup

Florida is currently -450 to win their first Stanley Cup, with Edmonton down to +360. The Panthers were -130 prior to Game 1's puck drop, and the Oilers were +110.

If you do believe Edmonton can win Game 3 and maybe even take both at home, now would be a good time to grab the price on them winning this series, as it will disappear the minute they win a game.

Game 3 odds

Moneyline: Edmonton -135 | Florida +114 Puck-line: Edmonton -1.5 (+200) | Florida +1.5 (-245) Over/under: 5.5 goals

Edmonton's home games have been far high-scoring than when they're on the road this postseason, averaging 7.0 total goals per game vs. 5.22 per game, so if ever an over is to hit, Game 3 would seemingly be one of our best opportunities, especially with the Oilers set to be more aggressive.

Conn Smythe favorites

1. Sergei Bobrovsky (-160)
2. Aleksander Barkov (+500)
3. Connor McDavid (+500)
4. Matthew Tkachuk (+1200)
5. Carter Verhaeghe (+2200)

If Florida wins, it's extremely hard to envision a world where anyone other than Sergei Bobrovsky wins the Conn Smythe. He's been strong throughout the postseason, and he's allowed just one goal through two games.

While -160 is hardly ever considered much of a value bet, when you compare it to the price on the Panthers winning it all at -450, it does start to look like more of a bargain.

Matthew Tkachuk has no points yet in the Stanley Cup Final, and Aleksander Barkov and Carter Verhaeghe have combined for just one goal. Florida wins it all if they continue to stymy Connor McDavid and this Oilers offensive attack. In such a world, it's Bobrovsky who will get the credit and the Conn Smythe Award.

McDavid remains the only viable option on the Edmonton end who can win this award, so similarly to what we said prior to this series started, the value is better placed on McDavid in this market than Edmonton to come back and win it all at +360.

Our current betting outlook

We do like Edmonton to grab Game 3, though be sure to monitor the status of Leon Draisaitl, who hit and injured Aleksander Barkov late in Game 2. It's unlikely discipline comes in the form of suspension, but you never know for sure.

Wait for confirmation on Draisaitl's availability, but if he's good-to-go, we like Oilers moneyline and over 5.5 in Game 3. 

Assuming those results hold, you may then be able to get a better price on Bobrovsky to win the Conn Smythe, and if that gets closer to even-money, we'd recommend pouncing on it.

We will have more Game 3 looks closer to Thursday's action, so stay tuned for some props and bets to come.