12 NFL best bets for player prop picks on Sunday Week 2

Raiders vs. Ravens

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Lamar Jackson

Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-113, FanDuel)

By Grant Neiffer

I bet Jackson last week on the ladder, and I'm going back to the well this week.

Jackson will be in for a massive year on the ground this season, and Week 1 was a clear indicator of this. The reigning MVP ran the ball 16 times and with the addition of Derrick Henry to this offense, Jackson will have some pressure taken off of him. That should give him the freedom to run even more.

This matchup is mediocre for Jackson's rushing ability with the Raiders ranking in the middle of the road in terms of allowing rushing yards to opposing QBs last season, but that stat is volatile. This is me backing him over the matchup.

I expect Jackson to take off early and often in nearly every game. I have him projected for 20 more rushing yards than this number, making this a great EV bet that I'm going to ladder.

Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Raiders vs. Ravens

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Mark Andrews

Over 3.5 Receptions (-106, FanDuel)

By Charlie DiSturco

Every year, it’s the same story. After Week 1, the public overreacts based on one game, creating value in the market and plenty of buy-low opportunities.

That's exactly what we have here with Mark Andrews. The whole world saw Isaiah Likely break out on in the season opener, catching nine passes for 111 yards and a touchdown. Andrews, meanwhile, was targeted just twice.

It was clear Kansas City focused on slowing down Andrews, bracketing him whenever they could. That led to dumpoffs to Likely and screens to Zay Flowers. Andrews still led Ravens in tight ends by playing 74% of the snaps. His separation score was high and there are no concerns from the preseason car crash he was involved in.

Andrews’ receptions prop for Week 2 is 3.5 at close to plus money. That is a huge overreaction for a tight end who has shown no signs of slowing down. He’s not the Ravens new left tackle, people!

Last season, he finished with four or more receptions in eight of the 11 games (73%) he played last season. One of those unders, by the way, was also against the Chiefs.

Our Action Pro projections have Andrews slated for 4.1 receptions, a +10.8% edge based on the market as of Friday afternoon. I’ll happily buy low on Andrews against the Raiders' lowly defense.

Pick: Mark Andrews Over 3.5 Receptions (-106)

Buccaneers vs. Lions

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Rachaad White

Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel)

By Kyle Murray

I think this is a dream scenario for this prop for White.

The Lions project to have a tough run defense, and the Bucs are +7.5-point underdogs. That means they're projected to be trailing most of the game and forced to throw more than they did last week against the Commanders.

The Bucs are going to use White in the passing game consistently since that's his specialty, and they should be looking to do that even more considering the matchup and projected game script.

White had 36 receiving yards in last year's NFC Divisional Round matchup against Detroit and 75 in Week 1 against Washington.

Pick: Rachaad White Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Chargers vs. Panthers

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Chuba Hubbard

Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110, DraftKings)

By Kyle Murray

It is difficult to take away a ton from the Panthers' embarrassing Week 1 performance against the Saints. Carolina was down by 27 points at halftime, and the game was over as a competitive contest.

What we can glean from the game is that Hubbard won't be a true bell cow with Miles Sanders and Mike Boone also getting carries. However, the main points of this bet are related to the matchup and game script.

I expect the Chargers to be stout defensively and win this game easily. That should make it difficult for the Panthers to see a ton of running situations, and they should be pretty inefficient when they do run the ball.

Pick: Chuba Hubbard Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Chargers vs. Panthers

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

JK Dobbins

Anytime TD Scorer (+145, DraftKings)

By Sam Farley

JK Dobbins reminded the NFL why he was such a loved prospect when he arrived in the league with the Ravens. The issue has always been availability not ability, and the 135 yards and touchdown in Week 1 showed how he can be one of the league's best RBs if healthy.

Dobbins averaged 13.5 yards per carry against the Raiders in his Chargers debut with the offensive line helping him pull off some huge plays. He has another juicy matchup this week against a Panthers defense that was torched last week.

The Saints managed 180 rushing yards against the Panthers and look primed to give up plenty of yards, and potentially touchdowns, to Dobbins.

Pick: JK Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer (+145)

Chargers vs. Panthers

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Hayden Hurst

Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110, Bet365)

By Kyle Murray

The markets have been really low on the Chargers passing game, and that's not without merit. Still, I love this number for Hurst.

Hurts is not a big-time playmaker, but he can definitely get this done on one play. In Week 1, Hurst ran a route on 79% of Justin Herbert's dropbacks, and his 12% target share left him with three targets. He hauled in two of those for catches and racked up 33 yards. However, I think we can expect more usage if he runs that many routes every week.

Factor in a great matchup (against his former team), and we should expect some strong efficiency from Hurts in Week 2.

Pick: Hayden Hurst Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Jets vs. Titans

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Allen Lazard

Over 3.5 Receptions (+125, BetMGM)

By Sam Farley

Garrett Wilson may be the Jets' best WR, but he had as many catches as Allen Lazard, who also gained more yards, in Week 1.

While Wilson had 11 targets to Lazard's nine, it's clear that Rodgers still has trust with his former Packers teammate. Lazard had a rough first season in New York with Zach Wilson mostly under center, but Rodgers being healthy changes his prospects this season.

The Jets are still working Mike Williams into the offense, with the former Chargers playmaker playing just nine snaps and getting no targets on Monday Night Football. There will be a time when Williams starts eating into the targets for everyone who isn't Wilson, but it's unlikely that will happen on a short week when Lazard is already trusted by Rodgers.

We know Rodgers loves throwing to guys he trusts, and he certainly believes in Lazard — as should we, at least this week. Let's play this plus-money number.

Pick: Allen Lazard Over 3.5 Receptions (+125)

Giants vs. Commanders

Sunday, Sept. 15

1 p.m. ET

Jayden Daniels

Over 192.5 Passing Yards (-110, Bet365)

By Kyle Murray

There were a few rough spots for Daniels in Week 1. While he flashed a lot of ability on the ground, he only threw for 184 yards.

However, the No. 2 overall pick in this year's draft now gets a strong matchup against a Giants team that allowed Sam Darnold to start the game with 12 straight completions last week. Also, Daniels will play at home this week after muggy Tampa in his NFL debut.

I love Daniels as a prospect and think he has a big game here in his first divisional matchup.

Pick: Jayden Daniels Over 192.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Rams vs. Cardinals

Sunday, Sept. 15

4:05 p.m. ET

Tyler Johnson

Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110, Bet365)

By Kyle Murray

Johnson came on in Week 1 after Puka Nacua left the game and made a couple of nice plays. He operated in Nacua's role and finished the game with 79 yards. It's worth noting, though, that 63 of those yards came on one play that saw some bad tackling from the Lions.

Even with Nacua out, Johnson will be the Rams' WR3 at best. Cooper Kupp and Demarcus Robinson are firmly ahead of him on the depth chart and already have Matthew Stafford's trust. The Rams also have other receivers who could step in and steal routes from Johnson in Tutu Atwell and promising rookie Jordan Whittington.

Pick: Tyler Johnson Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Bengals vs. Chiefs

Sunday, Sept. 15

4:25 p.m. ET

Rashee Rice

Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (BetRivers)

By Grant Neiffer

Hollywood Brown is out and will be for the foreseeable future, so I'm really high on Rice moving forward.

In Week 2, the Chiefs get a matchup against a Bengals defense that was near the bottom of the league last season in both Pass DVOA and yards allowed per pass.

Rice has been Patrick Mahomes' top WR target since halfway through last season and hit the over at this number at a large clip in the second half of the year. The second-year man has already torched the Bengals in his young career with a 127-yard game against them in the final week of last season.

Rice's volume was fantastic in Week 1. He was the target on 30% of Patrick Mahomes' pass attempts and will continue to see great volume as Kansas City's WR1. I have him projected for almost 20 more yards than this number and am hitting the ladders and playing alt lines.

Pick: Rashee Rice Over 65.5 Receiving Yards

Steelers vs. Broncos

Sunday, Sept. 15

4:25 p.m. ET

Greg Dulcich

Under 2.5 Receptions (-115, Bet365)

By Kyle Murray

The hype train for Dulcich lost some significant steam after lingering around for the last couple of years. I'm happy to continue slowing that down by fading him in Week 2.

The Broncos threw quite a bit last week (71%) in their loss to the Seahawks. Even with Bo Nix's 42 pass attempts, Dulcich saw just two targets. Also, the Broncos use their running backs so much in the passing game that it leaves very little volume for the tight ends.

This game should be an ugly slugfest with a total of just 37.5 points. It will be hard for Dulcich to stand out here, so I'll happily take this under.

Pick: Greg Dulcich Under 2.5 Receptions (-115)

Steelers vs. Broncos

Sunday, Sept. 15

4:25 p.m. ET

Courtland Sutton

Anytime TD Scorer (+380, Caesars)

By Grant Neiffer

This game will be ugly and probably won't be high-scoring, but there's definitely value on this bet.  Sutton scored 10 TDs last year and while that may have been with different QBs, I'm not sure that Bo Nix is any worse of a QB.

Sutton didn't do a ton with the targets he saw in Week 1, but he was the target on 12 of Nix's pass attempts. The veteran receiver is a good presence for Nix and will be the rookie's go-to guy.

I have the true odds under +300, making this an easy play.

Pick: Courtland Sutton Anytime TD Scorer (+380)

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