The American League playoff stage is set, promising a thrilling start to October baseball.
The action begins Tuesday with the the No. 6 seed Detroit Tigers facing the No. 3 Houston Astros at 2:32 p.m. ET, followed by the No. 5 seed Kansas City Royals playing the No. 4 seed Baltimore Orioles at 4:08 p.m. ET.
Meanwhile, the No. 2 seed Cleveland Guardians and No. 1 seed New York Yankees await with first-round byes, ready to face the winners in the ALDS.
As these best-of-three wild-card series unfold, an intriguing mix of young talent and seasoned veterans prepare to battle for a shot at the World Series.
From rising stars to familiar faces in new places, here are five key storylines to watch in the first round of the AL playoffs.
Henderson vs. Witt Jr.: Shortstop showdown
The matchup between Baltimore's Gunnar Henderson and Kansas City's Bobby Witt Jr. promises to be electrifying. Both had MVP-caliber seasons, with Henderson racking up an 8.9 bWAR and Witt Jr. an impressive 9.4. Witt led the majors with 211 hits and a .332 batting average, while Henderson proved his postseason mettle last year, hitting .500 in the ALDS.
Though this marks Witt's playoff debut, he holds a defensive edge, ranking in the 95th percentile in Fielding Run Value compared to Henderson's 43rd, according to Baseball Savant. (Fielding Run Value is Statcast's overall metric for capturing a player’s measurable defensive performance onto a run-based scale, which can then be read as a player being worth X runs above or Y runs below average.)
This shortstop duel could very well determine which team advances.
Hinch returns to Houston
A.J. Hinch's return to Houston as Detroit's manager adds a layer of drama to the Tigers-Astros series. After the infamous trash-can scandal led to his firing and suspension, Hinch has found redemption in Detroit, guiding the Tigers to their first playoff appearance since 2014.
With core players such as Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman still in Houston, Hinch faces the challenge of outmaneuvering the powerhouse he helped build. Can he leverage Detroit's youth and ace Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) to upset his former team?
Health concerns for sluggers
The status of Houston DH/LF Yordan Alvarez (right knee sprain) and Kansas City 1B/DH Vinnie Pasquantino (broken right thumb) looms large over their respective series.
Both are offensive linchpins, with Alvarez smashing 35 homers and posting a .959 OPS this season. Pasquantino's absence in September saw the Royals' team batting average plummet from .268 to .204.
¡INCREÍBLE! ¡YORDAN ALVAREZ, WALK-OFF HR! VAMOOOOS #Postseason | #EnOtroNivel pic.twitter.com/SjzKcqKLzj
— Astros de Houston (@LosAstros) October 11, 2022
While both have shown encouraging signs of recovery, their availability and effectiveness remain uncertain. Their presence – or lack thereof – could swing the balance in these tight matchups.
David vs. Goliath
The contrast between the youthful Tigers and Royals and the battle-tested Orioles and Astros sets up classic underdog narratives. Detroit boasts the league's youngest roster at an average age of 26.3, while Houston's seasoned squad (average age 29.7) has reached at least the ALCS every year since 2017.
Can the exuberance and hunger of these rising teams overcome the playoff-hardened veterans? Or will experience prevail once again?
Smith's quest for four
While it may not impact the series outcome, Will Smith's pursuit of a fourth consecutive World Series ring with a fourth different team adds a touch of baseball magic to the playoffs. Currently on the IL with back spasms, Smith's availability for Kansas City remains in question.
Even if he makes the roster, his 6.53 ERA this season suggests he may not play a significant role. Still, Smith's presence serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of playoff baseball.
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