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Inside the Steelers-Ravens tussle to win the AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin. Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Inside the Steelers-Ravens tussle to win the AFC North

Ahead of the 2024 season, ESPN's Football Power Index gave the Baltimore Ravens a 46.4% chance, the best in their division, to win the competitive AFC North.

After a 6-2 start, however, the Pittsburgh Steelers (who were given a mere 8.1% chance to win the division) look primed to contest Baltimore and provide a photo finish for the divisional crown.

Let's take a look at how each of the teams can win the AFC North.

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)

The Steelers were aggressive at the trade deadline, shipping a 2025 fifth-round pick to the Jets for WR Mike Williams and a 2025 seventh-round pick to the Packers for DE Preston Smith.

The addition of Williams provides Pittsburgh with a true No. 2 option behind WR George Pickens for QB Russell Wilson, while Smith will help complement a stacked front-seven headlined by LB T.J. Watt and DT Cameron Heyward.

Loading up on reinforcements was a necessity for Pittsburgh as it enters a tough stretch of games to conclude the season.

Of their nine remaining games, six are divisional matchups against Baltimore, Cincinnati and Cleveland — one home and one away per team. The Steelers' three non-divisional games are at the Washington Commanders (7-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) and a home game against the Kansas City Chiefs (8-0) on Christmas.

The Steelers must rely on their defense, which has allowed the second-fewest points per game this season (14.9), to keep them in multiple games that feature MVP-caliber quarterbacks (Washington rookie Jayden Daniels, Baltimore's Lamar Jackson, Cincinnati's Joe Burrow, Kansas City's Patrick Mahomes).

Holding a division lead ahead of Sunday's game against the Commanders, Pittsburgh probably needs six wins to earn the AFC North title, including at least three divisional wins. A 12-5 record could be just enough to emerge atop the AFC North.

Baltimore Ravens (7-3)

According to DraftKings as of Friday (Nov. 8), the Ravens have the MVP front-runner in Jackson (+175) and Offensive Player of the Year front-runner in RB Derrick Henry (-140). Yet they are only 7-3 and second in the AFC North. It becomes easier to understand that fact when looking at their monstrosity of a pass defense.

Baltimore has allowed 294.9 passing yards per game, an astounding 30.6 more yards per game than any other team in the league ahead of Sunday's Week 10 action. Baltimore's exploitable secondary has resulted in the team allowing 25.3 points per game this season, the ninth-highest mark.

In Week 10's "Thursday Night Football" matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, Burrow recorded his second game with at least 390 passing yards and four touchdowns against the Ravens... this season alone.

Baltimore's remaining schedule offers some relief, as none of its six opponents rank in the top 10 in offensive points per game or pass yards per game.

For the Ravens to win the AFC North, they'll desperately need to improve against the pass. Nothing must be addressed offensively, as they lead the league in many categories, including yards per game (440.2) and touchdowns (38).

If Baltimore can win six of its seven remaining games, a 13-4 record will almost certainly ensure they keep the AFC North title out of Pittsburgh's grasp.

Joshua Eaton

Joshua Eaton is a sports journalist who closely follows the Denver Broncos, but is passionate about the NFL and College Football. He attends the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University, and plans to graduate in 2027 with a bachelor’s degree in Sports Journalism. Josh can be found on both Twitter/X and Instagram at @josheatonn

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