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Week 13 NFL underdog report: Dolphins, Eagles and Steelers need more love
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images

Week 13 NFL underdog report: Dolphins, Eagles and Steelers need more love

Three teams took down favored opponents in Week 12. Who will pull off the feat in Week 13? We believe these teams have the best shot. (odds via ESPN Bet).

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers (-3)

The Dolphins are 3-2 since quarterback Tua Tagovailoa returned from a head injury that cost him four early-season games. More importantly, those three wins have all come in the last three weeks as the team has outscored opponents 91-49.

Miami is clearly a better team with Tagovailoa on the field, and wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle get a boost from Tagovailoa's presence as well. After going seven weeks without a touchdown, Hill now has two scores in his last three games. Waddle led the team with 144 yards and a touchdown last week after failing to reach 47 yards in four games without Tagovailoa.

Green Bay needed only 13 passes to beat an injured 49ers team at Lambeau Field in Week 12 ,but this week they’ll need more than 163 yards passing from quarterback Jordan Love. He’ll also need to protect the ball better.

Last week was Love’s first game without an interception all year. Still, he’s thrown 11 in nine games, tied for second-most with Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes. The Dolphins haven’t grabbed many interceptions (seven) this year but they haven’t allowed many points either, giving up the 12th-fewest points (21.5) per contest.

It won’t be easy, but if the Dolphins’ ninth-ranked run defense can stop Green Bay’s Josh Jacobs, the NFL’s third-leading rusher, they should have enough to beat the Packers on Thanksgiving night.

Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

Averaging 426.7 yards per game, Baltimore owns the NFL’s top offense, two spots ahead of Philadelphia’s 389.1 yards per game. But with only 274.6 yards per game allowed, the Eagles have the league’s best defense, well ahead of the Ravens’ 24th-ranked unit.

Watching Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley, the league’s leading rusher, go against Baltimore’s Derrick Henry, the NFL’s second-leading rusher, should be a blast, but this game is essentially a coin flip between two of the league’s best teams.

If Barkley comes anywhere near last week’s 302-yard performance in Week 12, the Eagles win the game. If Henry continues to average six yards per carry and 110.4 yards per game, the Ravens prevail.

Bottom line: Philadelphia has a great chance to win a fantastic game that probably deserves a prime-time audience.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

Somehow, the 4-7 Bengals, losers of two straight games, are favored over the Steelers this week, even though Pittsburgh leads the AFC North with an 8-3 record. It’s also been two years since Cincinnati has beaten their division rivals.

The Steelers lost to the Browns 24-19 last week, putting an end to a five-game win streak that included victories over playoff contenders like Baltimore and Washington. The Bengals are much better than their record would indicate, but do they have enough to defeat a team like Pittsburgh that’s coming off an embarrassing loss?

Cincinnati leads the NFL in passing with 262.7 yards per game and quarterback Joe Burrow leads the league with 27 passing touchdowns. They’ve scored 34 or more points in each of their last four games, but only three teams have allowed fewer points per game (16.9) than the Steelers this season.

More importantly, Pittsburgh’s +13 turnover differential is second-best in the league. If the Steelers can keep the score low by taking the ball out of Burrow’s hands, they should get back to their winning ways before a Week 14 rematch with the Browns.

Bruce Ewing

Bruce Ewing is 183 pounds of twisted steel and Happy Meals. His work has appeared on Yardbarker, 5th Down Fantasy, Inside the Iggles and MSN. Give a Philly fan a break and follow him on Twitter/X at @fantasybruce.

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