A running back hasn't won the NFL Most Valuable Player award since Minnesota's Adrian Peterson in 2012, but Saquon Barkley is now in line to end the drought.
Barkley, in his first season with the Philadelphia Eagles, leads the NFL in rushing yards (1,499) through 12 games. He ranks second in total touchdowns scored (13), but the leader, Baltimore's Derrick Henry (15), has played one more game than Barkley. Either way, Barkley shouldn't be punished for failing to lead the NFL in touchdowns.
According to Benjamin Solak of ESPN, Barkley leads the NFL with nine touches that have ended at the 1-yard line. Of the nine subsequent plays, seven were Jalen Hurts tush push touchdowns. None turned into Barkley scores.
Quarterbacks have dominated the MVP award over the past 12 years because they're always the most important players on their teams, but that's what makes Barkley different. Barkley is responsible for 1,766 yards of offense this season, 38.9 percent of Philadelphia's total offensive output. That's by far the highest mark among running backs this season, with New Orleans' Alvin Kamara coming in a distant second (32.4 percent).
Hurts is on pace to finish with a career-low mark in passing yards per game (207.8), but the Eagles are still 10-2 because Barkley is leading the best rushing offense in the NFL.
Why else do QBs typically win this award? Voters view them as directly responsible for wins and losses and how their teams perform in the clutch. Well, there's been no better closer in the NFL this season than Barkley. The 27-year-old leads the league in rushing yards (481), touchdowns (six) and rushes of at least 10 yards in the fourth quarter, per The Football Database. He already has four touchdown runs of at least 25 yards in the fourth quarter, and all four came in crucial moments to ice wins.
.@eagles @Ravens @saquon is unstoppable in the 4th Q; 4 TD runs of 25+ yards to take control of games. You know....the type of plays that are MVP worthy #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/m7b3yPhncK
— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) December 2, 2024
The final piece of Barkley's MVP puzzle is his ability to show voters something they've never seen before. Quarterbacks seemingly break records every season in today's pass-happy NFL, but Eric Dickerson's season rushing record of 2,105 yards has stood for 40 years.
Barkley is 607 rushing yards away from breaking Dickerson's record, meaning he needs to average 121.4 rushing yards over the last five games of the regular season. He has averaged 124.9 rushing yards per game to this point, and four of his last five games come against teams (Panthers, Commanders, Cowboys, Giants) that rank 27th or worse in rushing defense. The all-time record is certainly within reach.
If Barkley can break Dickerson's record and lead the Eagles to the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the NFC, he deserves the MVP.
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