Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the frontrunner to win MVP, but if you listen carefully, Nikola Jokic is ambling near on his Serbian horse.
On Monday, the Nuggets star recorded another historic stat line to build on arguably the best season of his career. Jokic is on pace for the most efficient season in NBA history with a player efficiency rating (PER) of 33.08, surpassing the previous benchmark of 32.85 that he set in 2021-22.
Even beyond advanced metrics, Jokic is notching counting stats that defy logic. Averaging 29.2 points, 12.6 rebounds and a career-high 10.4 assists, he is on track to become the first center ever to average a triple-double. The mindblowing part is he's attempting only 19.3 shots.
According to Yahoo Sports' Ben Rohrbach, Jokic would outshine Wilt Chamberlain's 1961-62 season — the greatest statistical season in history — if he were more selfish. "The Big Dipper" averaged 50.4 points and 25.7 rebounds from 48.5 minutes that year but contributed 46.5% of the Philadelphia Warriors' point output. In comparison, Jokic has contributed to more than 47% of the Nuggets' points this season.
"Chamberlain attempted 39.5 field goals and 17 free throws per game in 1962 — more than twice as many as Jokic. If Jokic took that many shots, he would, statistically, be averaging 61.4 points per game," wrote the statistican.
Jokic's stats are too compelling to ignore, and they could force voters to consider their options carefully before casting their final ballots in April. After Jokic's 19-assist performance on Monday, the NBA TV crew explained why the Nuggets star should still be the frontrunner to win the award.
"I like SGA for MVP, but if you really just look at the numbers [...] it's Jokic for sure" ️@steve21smith sounds off on a close MVP race after Jokic's big night with @channingfrye & @NabilKarimTV pic.twitter.com/2o6yf6301P
— NBA TV (@NBATV) February 25, 2025
For what it's worth, the Basketball Reference MVP tracker gives Jokic a 70% probability rate to capture his fourth Michael Jordan Trophy. Ultimately, the voters may reward SGA for the Thunder's superior record (46-11), but not if Jokic's Nuggets (38-20) close the gap.
If Jokic gets the nod, he will trail only Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (6), Michael Jordan (5) and Bill Russell (5) for most MVP awards in history, joining Lebron James and Chamberlain with four.
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