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NHL Week 1 reactions: What’s real — and what's a mirage?
Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

NHL Week 1 reactions: What’s real — and what's a mirage?

The first full week of the NHL season is in the books. After 48 games, trends are emerging — and so are mirages. (All statistics are through Monday.)

Colorado's Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon are unstoppable

VERDICT: Real enough | The top line of MacKinnon centering Necas and Artturi Lehkonen has outscored opponents 5-0 en route to a 3-0-1 start for the Avalanche. MacKinnon and Necas each have eight points, tied for the league lead. NHL analytics site MoneyPuck indicates 122 lines have been constructed to play at least 10 minutes so far — Colorado's top line is first in goals scored.

Last season, in 290 minutes, their 16 goals scored as a duo came out to 3.3 goals per 60 minutes. As of Monday, they're scoring at an absurd rate of 5.9 goals per 60 minutes. Keeping this up would be historic by modern NHL scoring standards, so that might be the mirage. Although they may not make history, the dominance so far is real.

New York Rangers are really good defensively

VERDICT: Probably real | Their .954 team save percentage (second in the NHL) will come down some, but through four games, Rangers defensive improvements transitioning from Peter Laviolette to Mike Sullivan behind the bench look legitimate. 

Per Natural Stat Trick, New York's 12.2 high-danger chances allowed per 60 minutes at five-on-five was fourth worst in the league last season. Through four games this season, they're at 9.54 per 60 minutes, which would have put them in the top five of the league last season. There's a reason the goaltending has been so absurdly good to start the season for the Rangers (2-2) — the defense is actually giving superstar netminder Igor Shesterkin a chance. 

Anaheim Ducks have a pulse on power play

VERDICT: Jury's out | Anaheim isn't the only team having an early season power-play renaissance. The Ducks were the worst in the NHL last season, finishing at 11.8 percent, so fixing the power play was an obvious goal for them  when they acquired Chris Kreider, the all-time leading power-play goal scorer in New York Rangers history. Scoring at a 40-percent clip, Anaheim has a stellar power play, but the sample is too small.  

Elite goalies are in for down seasons

VERDICT: A mirage | There are big-name goalies at the bottom of the leaguewide save percentage list. In reverse order, Ottawa's Linus Ullmark (.842), New Jersey's Jacob Markstrom (.845), Vegas' Adin Hill (.854), Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy (.855), Calgary's Dustin Wolf (.865), Carolina's Frederik Andersen (.867), Los Angeles' Darcy Kuemper (.868) and Dallas' Jake Oettinger (.875) are off to poor starts despite coming off strong seasons. There's a possibility that someone is due for a down season, but most of these guys should bounce back. 

Buffalo Sabres are a mess

VERDICT: Unfortunately for Sabres fans, this is probably real. | Per Natural Stat Trick, the Sabres have spent the most minutes trailing by any margin (141 minutes, 15 seconds) at all strengths. They're 0-3-0 and have been outscored at home 7-1. Perhaps most alarming, the Sabres have been outshot 32-23 combined in three third periods (27-16 at home), looking particularly bad in the 3-1 loss to Colorado on Monday afternoon. To add injury to insult, top center Josh Norris is expected to miss a chunk of time.

The Sabres look like they're going to keep pace with the 0-6 New York Jets for the ignominious title of longest North American playoff drought — approaching 15 seasons for both franchises.

Alex Wiederspiel

Alex Wiederspiel is a digital reporter, play-by-play broadcaster, radio show host and podcast host in West Virginia covering high school athletics, Division II college athletics, and some West Virginia University athletics. He's an avid follower of all things hockey and football with a soft spot for prospects -- the future stars of the league. When not consuming sports, Alex is usually doing something related to Star Wars, Lord of the Rings, or watching movies for his movie podcast, The Movie Spiel

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