Manchester City forward Erling Haaland. Lee Smith-Reuters via Imagn Images

Erling Haaland on pace to shatter historic Premier League record

By Matt Evans | Last updated Oct 15, 2025 9:56 AM ET

Few players in football history have combined power, precision and inevitability quite like Erling Haaland.

Since his arrival in England, the Norwegian striker has turned goal-scoring from a talent into an expectation, a routine display of efficiency that seems to edge him closer to history with every touch, run and finish.

When Haaland joined Manchester City in 2022, the Premier League had already seen its share of legendary forwards from Thierry Henry and Sergio Aguero to Wayne Rooney and Alan Shearer. Yet Haaland’s impact was immediate and seismic.

In his debut campaign, he broke the league’s single-season scoring record with 36 goals, shattering a benchmark that had stood for nearly three decades. What once seemed impossible has since become routine, and his trajectory shows no sign of slowing.

This season, Haaland has already scored 12 goals in nine appearances across all competitions, bringing his total for City to 136 goals in 155 matches.

According to Sky Sports, he could surpass Alan Shearer’s all-time Premier League record of 260 goals as early as September 2030, based on his current scoring and appearance averages.

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Projections suggest that, if maintained, he could finish with as many as 389 Premier League goals, a figure that would eclipse even the most iconic strikers in the league’s history.

The numbers are staggering. Haaland reached 100 Premier League goal involvements faster than any player before him, achieving the feat in just 94 games.

His relentless scoring rate is unprecedented in English football, and he continues to thrive under Pep Guardiola’s attacking system, which perfectly complements his instinctive movement and finishing prowess.

At just 25 years old, Haaland’s blend of physical dominance, sharp positioning and composure in front of goal marks him as a once-in-a-generation talent.

His record-breaking nine-and-a-half-year contract extension with City, signed earlier this year, ensures he has both the stability and time to chase down records that once seemed untouchable.

Of course, projections depend on more than talent alone. Longevity, fitness and consistency will determine whether Haaland can dethrone Shearer, whose record has stood since 2006. But if the past three-plus years are any indication, the Premier League’s all-time scoring chart may soon have a new name at the top.

Matt Evans

Matt Evans is a sports journalist from the United Kingdom, now based in Paris, France. He has covered various sports including basketball, soccer, boxing, MMA, and motorsports. Over the past decade, Matt has focused heavily on the NBA and has worked with many established outlets on a variety of content

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