Trevor Lawrence headlines four fantasy football players who could flop in Week 16

As we advance to the fantasy football semifinals, it's crucial for owners still alive to avoid land mines in their lineup. Here are four players who could flop on their projections in NFL Week 16.

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence vs. Denver Broncos

You might be tempted to give Lawrence a chance after he scored 44.3 fantasy points in the first round of the playoffs, but he'll be lucky to score half that in the semifinals. The New York Jets have quit on the season, whereas the Broncos present one of the toughest tests for fantasy quarterbacks.

Denver ranks fourth in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to QBs, first in touchdowns allowed per game (1.7) and third in completion percentage allowed (58.5 percent). Lawrence has also struggled against elite defenses this season, scoring fewer than 10 points in two games against the Houston Texans and 15.02 points against the Los Angeles Chargers. 

Detroit Lions RB David Montgomery vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Montgomery operates as a low-end RB2 thanks to his ability to find the end zone, but he's too risky to start in the semifinals. The Lions running back has played fewer than 40 percent of the team's offensive snaps and carried the ball fewer than nine times in five straight games. He's had three decent fantasy days in that stretch strictly due to touchdowns, but his ceiling is too low with his current workload.

If Montgomery doesn't score a touchdown, he could cost you your fantasy season, and the Steelers have given up the fourth-fewest rushing touchdowns this year (10).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Emeka Egbuka vs. Carolina Panthers

The dream season for Egbuka owners is officially in the rear-view mirror. Egbuka, who was a top-five fantasy wide receiver through five weeks, has scored fewer than 10 PPR points in seven of his last nine games. To make matters worse, the rookie WR played only 64 percent of the team's offensive snaps in Week 15 with Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan all in the lineup for the first time this season.

The Bucs will cycle through a rotation of five wide receivers going forward, severely limiting Egbuka's usage and upside.

Indianapolis Colts TE Tyler Warren vs. San Francisco 49ers

Warren, like Egbuka, has gone from elite fantasy option to borderline unstartable. Now that 44-year-old Phillip Rivers is running the show in Indianapolis, the Colts might not have a viable pass-catcher in fantasy. Rivers averaged just 5.3 air yards per attempt in his debut, which ranks 54th out of 56 quarterbacks who have played at least 20 snaps this season. Six of those attempts went to Warren, who caught only three of them for 19 yards.

Warren's only chance of paying off a start is scoring a short touchdown, but we wouldn't bet on it.