
Limited quarterback options in the 2026 NFL Draft and free agency may be inflating the market value of Green Bay Packers backup Malik Willis.
On Wednesday, longtime NFL insider Jordan Schultz reported Willis receiving a deal that's worth at least $30M per year when he becomes a free agent on March 11 at 4 p.m. ET is a "foregone conclusion." However, that may be an overpay for the 26-year-old QB.
A team that is signing Willis would clearly be banking on him following a similar trajectory to that of Seattle Seahawks QB Sam Darnold, a former New York Jets bust. Darnold, of course, led the Seahawks to a Super Bowl LX victory this past season after signing a three-year, $100.5M deal with Seattle in free agency.
Darnold, however, has played much more football than Willis. Darnold has started 90 regular-season games in eight seasons and attempted 2,833 passes. Willis, meanwhile, has started six games in four seasons and thrown 155 passes.
#Packers free agent QB Malik Willis is in demand, as expected, and interested teams I’ve spoken to at the Combine in Indianapolis believe him getting at least $30M per year is a foregone conclusion. pic.twitter.com/FzB8GaaNPw
— Jordan Schultz (@Schultz_Report) February 25, 2026
Not all of that is Willis' fault. The Tennessee Titans gave him few opportunities before trading him to the Packers in 2024. The former Liberty Flames star started just three games in two seasons with the Titans, going 1-2.
In two seasons with Green Bay, Willis has flashed promise when filling in for Jordan Love. The QB has played 11 games for the Packers, completing 70-of-89 passes (78.7%, well above the league average) for 972 yards and six touchdown passes. He has also rushed for 261 yards and three TDs on 42 carries.
But the Packers — who have won four Super Bowls — are an elite organization, and so is Seattle, which has hoisted two Lombardi Trophies since 2010.
Willis may not land with such a team in free agency. Potential landing spots for the QB include the Miami Dolphins and the Arizona Cardinals. Miami went 7-10 in 2025, while Arizona went 3-14.
Both have new HCs. This offseason, Miami fired Mike McDaniel and replaced him with Jeff Hafley. Arizona, meanwhile, hired Mike LaFleur after canning Jonathan Gannon. Neither may be in a position to immediately rebuild their clubs, which are expected to move on from their QBs.
The Dolphins seem poised to release or trade QB Tua Tagovailoa, and the Cardinals could do the same with QB Kyler Murray. The Dolphins would incur $67.4M in dead cap if they release Tagovailoa with a post-June 1 designation, while such a move with Murray would result in $47.5M in dead cap for the Cardinals (via Over the Cap).
Considering that, why would either franchise overpay for another QB, especially when the 2027 NFL Draft looks strong at the position? Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning and Oregon Ducks QB Dante Moore headline it.
This doesn't mean teams should avoid Willis in free agency altogether. But they shouldn't cough up the big bucks just because they think he's the only appealing option on the market. Despite some upside, his small sample size doesn't merit the contract he may sign in free agency.
More must-reads:
+
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!