
If you're looking to identify a few golfers who can win the 2026 Players Championship, the first step is to understand which statistics are the most indicative of success at TPC Sawgrass. Let's break down which stats will likely determine the winner at the PGA Tour's "fifth major" and which players rank inside the top five in each this season.
TPC Sawgrass is a supreme ball-striking test. You need to be on point with your driver and irons to avoid the thick rough and water lurking around every turn. The players who pound fairways and greens will have the best chance to win on Sunday afternoon.
Unsurprisingly, the best players in strokes gained from tee to green this season are some of the top-ranked players in the world.
1. Rory McIlroy
2. Si Woo Kim
3. Collin Morikawa
4. Chris Gotterup
5. Scottie Scheffler
Really not sure if I’ve seen the rough at TPC Sawgrass this thick in… forever? pic.twitter.com/dT1ZFprQSx
— Adam Stanley (@adam_stanley) March 9, 2026
A strong combination of accuracy and distance off the tee can give players a massive advantage at TPC Sawgrass. Finding the fairway is crucial, but McIlroy and Scheffler have shown over the last few years that pulling out driver and cutting off the doglegs with their length can be a winning formula.
1. Min Woo Lee
2. Michael Thorbjornsen
3. Sudarshan Yellamaraju
4. Jordan Smith
5. Collin Morikawa
Because TPC Sawgrass isn't a long golf course by PGA Tour standards, mid-iron play is always crucial at the Players Championship. The average approach distance at TPC Sawgrass is 164 yards, per Ron Klos of Betsperts, so players need to be on point from 150-175 yards to give themselves ample scoring chances.
1. Si Woo Kim
2. Andrew Novak
3. Ryan Gerard
4. Emiliano Grillo
5. Sahith Theegala
Avoiding the water hazards at the Players Championship is critical. There's water in play on 17 of the 18 holes at TPC Sawgrass, and a majority of them are located on the left side. Missing left here can lead to big numbers and a short week, so players who rarely pull the ball have a better chance of staying out of the drink.
1. Max McGreevy
2. Joel Dahmen
3. Haotong Li
4. Tommy Fleetwood
5. Collin Morikawa
Based on these important stats and the top-ranked players in each, Kim and Morikawa seem like great bets to contend for a win at the 2026 Players Championship.
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