
The NHL free-agency market isn't quite heating up. After the Alex Tuch sign-and-trade, it's possible it may fail to launch at all.
In the wake of an unrestricted free agent market littered with landmines, perhaps it will finally be the restricted free agent market where teams feast.
There's been more action on the restricted free agent market in recent years, including St. Louis's dual offer sheets to then-Edmonton skaters Dylan Holloway and Philip Broberg. Last season, the threat of an offer sheet by Carolina spurred the Rangers into trading defenseman K'Andre Miller.
There are three players whose status as restricted free agents could lead to them changing teams.
Robertson is a legitimate star. For his career, he averages 88 points per 82 games and has already scored 40 goals three times in his career. He turns 27 in July, making him an ideal fit for a team looking to win right now.
The Stars, window open wide, believe they should be that team. They've been actively negotiating a new contract with Robertson.
The issue is that Dallas is very tight to the salary cap. The Stars are 28th in cap space with slightly more than $9.4 million available, according to Puck Pedia. That's less available than what sports consulting firm AFP Analytics projects — close to $12 million per season. The Stars would need to clear at least one contract and possibly more to fit Robertson, especially if his number is higher than the projection.
An offer sheet seems less likely to make sense than simply the threat of one, since successful offer sheets historically require a short-term commitment followed by a long-term extension. The threat of one could force Dallas into a trade.
Regarding Jason Robertson:
— Greg Wyshynski (@wyshynski) June 25, 2026
One NHL executive that inquired about him said @DallasStars were seeking a “Rantanen” package back for the RFA winger. Please recall they sent two protected 1st-rounders, two 3rds and 2nd-year center Logan Stankoven to Carolina.
We shall see ... pic.twitter.com/j6qDo3AsMF
There was a time when Nikishin was described as one of the best prospects outside North America. After a successful first season, Carolina could be ready to move on from the 6-foot-3, 24-year-old Russian defender even after 33 points in 81 regular season games.
Nikishin was quieter in the playoffs with just 1 point in 17 games. Perhaps more importantly, he's due for his first big extension as a restricted free agent. While there's no rush to unrestricted free agency, the lefty had to play on his off-side because of Carolina's crowded depth chart. Nobody is set for free agency, but Carolina needs to determine if it envisions Nikishin's role expanding soon or not, as he was its least-used regular defenseman at five-on-five and accounting for all situations.
This is another example where a trade might be more likely than an actual offer sheet.
Multiple teams have confirmed Carolina is considering trade involving Alexander Nikishin. The 24 year old Stanley Cup champion is a pending RFA, so the Canes are weighing trade interest vs extension.
— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) June 24, 2026
Nearing the 24-hour countdown to the NHL Draft, Vegas has the least cap space in the league. The Knights have decisions to make on multiple players, including unrestricted free agents Rasmus Andersson, Colton Sissons and Brandon Saad.
Dorofeyev scored 35 goals in back-to-back seasons. AFP Analytics is projecting an extension to come in around $9 million per season. Vegas only has $4.625 million in cap space, per Puck Pedia. There is an off-season cap cushion allowing teams to go over the $104 million cap (temporarily), and Vegas also has options thanks to defenseman Alex Pietrangelo's unofficial retirement. The situation still leaves them vulnerable if a team chooses to come in and force their hand outside of Vegas's timeline for completing business.
Players are eligible for offer sheets beginning July 1.
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