
Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning is a member of football royalty. That comes with its perks and drawbacks.
On Monday, ESPN's Field Yates and Mel Kiper Jr. released their QB preseason rankings for the 2027 NFL Draft (scheduled April 29-May 1 in Washington). They listed Manning, the nephew of Super Bowl champions Peyton and Eli and grandson of 1971 No. 2 pick Archie, at No. 2 behind Oregon Ducks QB Dante Moore (6-foot-3, 206 pounds). (Note: Arch Manning has one more year of eligibility after the 2026 season, but he's widely expected to turn pro after it ends.)
Yates noted Arch Manning's last name should work in his favor throughout the predraft process. Some scouts and NFL general managers will assume he's destined for greatness because of his family lineage. That said, his last name may also work against the Texas QB.
"Being a Manning puts a different level of pressure on you than any other QB," Yates said. "If Arch Manning throws two interceptions in Texas' biggest game early on in the season, and Dante Moore has a tough game as well, I think 'SportsCenter,' 'Get Up' and 'First Take' are more likely to talk about Manning than Moore."
This has already happened. Heading into the 2025 season, sportsbooks and draft aficionados tabbed Arch Manning as the favorite to go No. 1 overall in the 2026 draft. That was silly, considering he had only started two games in place of an injured Quinn Ewers in his first two seasons at Texas.
His inexperience didn't stop media members and others from slamming Arch Manning, 22, when he struggled early in the season. The Athletic labeled him as college football's first flop after completing a below-average 60 percent of his passes and going 3-2 in his first five starts. The title was hasty.
Arch Manning finished the season strong, going 7-1 in his last eight starts and throwing for three or more TD passes in three games. That culminated in a 41-27 win over the Michigan Wolverines in the Citrus Bowl, in which he logged four TDs (two passing and two rushing).
Y'all see that speed? pic.twitter.com/JmOoz6VKlG
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) December 31, 2025
The promise Arch Manning showed toward the end of the 2025 season has draft gurus buying his stock again. As of Monday, NFL Mock Draft Database lists the Texas star as its No. 1 overall prospect on its big board. Some scouts, though, remain skeptical.
"Everyone's falling in love when they see the future version of this player, and he simply hasn't shown anything close to that right now," an NFC scout told ESPN's Jordan Reid for a recent story. "I see Daniel Jones when I watch him — a good, not great prospect."
To prove he's a blue-chip prospect, Arch Manning must demonstrate more consistency. If he does, teams should be lining up for the 6-foot-4, 222-pound dual-threat QB.
His last name is why Arch Manning will face more scrutiny than other QB prospects. Simultaneously, the pedigree is a key reason NFL clubs may fall in love with him if he fulfills lofty expectations this season.
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