
The Las Vegas Raiders suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday, dropping a thrilling 30-27 decision with the Kansas City Chiefs. As is the case with any close, one-score game, there are always going to be a handful of plays you can look back on with regret if you are on the losing side of it.
One of the big ones for the Raiders will be the decision of head coach Klint Kubiak to take three points off the board following a Chiefs penalty so he could try to go for a first down.
It failed.
His team lost by three points.
Here is the situation: With the Raiders leading 13-10 on the opening drive of the third quarter, Matt Gay made a 41-yard field goal to give the Raiders a 16-10 lead.
The Chiefs, however, were assessed a five-yard penalty for an illegal formation.
Instead of declining the penalty and taking the 16-10 lead, Kubiak decided to accept the penalty and turn a 4th-and-7 into a very long 4th-and-2 and go for it.
It failed, with the Raiders turning the ball over on downs.
Those missed three points would prove to be costly.
Kubiak said after the game they knew they were going to be try to be aggressive on Sunday, and he had more regret over not getting the first down than he did in going for it.
#Raiders HC Klint Kubiak on the decision not to get kick the FG and go for it on fourth down in the third quarter: “I took three points off the board, and we were going to be aggressive going into the game. I don’t regret it. I regret not getting it.”
— Ryan McFadden (@ryanmcfadden_) October 4, 2026
It is understandable as to why Kubiak would want to be aggressive there.
His team is 3-0, at home and looking to deliver a big statement against a team that has bullied them for years. You also do not typically beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs with field goals, and when you have a chance to get touchdowns, you typically want to take advantage of that.
Even with all of that being the case, it would have been easier to understand Kubiak's decision if the penalty had given them a first down.
Or if it had simply turned it into a 4th-and-inches situation.
This was two yards, and a very long two yards that was probably closer to three yards. It was far from a guarantee to convert.
But what makes the decision, as well as his explanation, a little more confusing is that he was faced with a similar situation later in the game and did the exact opposite.
With the Raiders trailing, 17-16, and facing a 4th-and-2 at the Chiefs' 30-yard line late in the fourth quarter, Kubiak elected to kick the field goal and take the points, taking a 19-17 lead.
He referenced the fact that he took points off the board earlier in the game as a reason for wanting to take them there.
If anything that explanation makes all of it harder to understand. If he wanted to be aggressive, why would he do it in one situation and not the other? If he did not regret the decision, why did he let the result impact his next decision in a nearly identical spot? If anything there would have been more incentive to try and go for it in the fourth quarter because he was going to be giving Mahomes the ball back, with five minutes to play, and only needing a field goal. That situation rarely goes well for teams.
If you want to be aggressive, be aggressive. If you want to play it safe and take the points, then do that. Trying to blend the two together and letting the results impact your confidence in doing so is really complicating things. Kubiak has pushed a lot of the right buttons for the Raiders this season, but he might have overthought things for himself a bit on Sunday.
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