
The Major League Soccer playoffs are back after a two-week international break.
Eight teams — four from the East and four from the West — remain in the hunt for the 2025 MLS Cup.
Who has the momentum? Who is most likely to make a deep run? Here’s a breakdown of the single-elimination conference semifinals. (Seedings are in parentheses. Higher seeds are hosts.)
Miami failed to score in only five of its 34 MLS matches this season. That would normally suggest an edge in a one-off playoff setting — but two of those five shutouts came against FC Cincinnati.
Cincinnati also comes in with home-field advantage and a notably fresher squad. Only four of its starters traveled for international duty, and two of those trips were just to Florida.
Miami, by contrast, sent five starters abroad, including its core duo of Lionel Messi and Rodrigo De Paul, who made the long haul to Angola and back this week to play a match for their native Argentina.
It’s never easy to bet against Miami, but Cincinnati has the momentum, the legs, the crowd and the postseason experience to win.
The last time these teams met, a stellar Mikael Uhre goal handed Philadelphia a 1–0 win and the 2025 MLS Supporters’ Shield. The result knocked NYCFC down the Eastern Conference standings and cost it home-field advantage in the playoffs. All that drama ensures this semifinal will carry the edge of a fraught recent history.
Under normal circumstances, NYCFC is capable of going toe-to-toe with Philadelphia — but its current circumstances are anything but normal. The club enters this match without regular starters Andrés Perea (midfielder) and Alonso Martínez (forward), who suffered season-ending injuries after carrying NYC through the opening playoff rounds.
Without those two — and with Phildelphia's strong recent form at home — this match tilts clearly in the Union’s favor.
When asked about his upcoming MLS playoff match, Vancouver attacker Thomas Muller got straight to the point.
“You know how the game is played, especially here with you guys and the cameras. So it’s about the idols, it’s about the big players, it’s about names,” he said, according to the league's website.
And he's right. In this clash, it's the big names who are bound to attract the most attention. That includes LAFC winger/forward Denis Bouanga and forward Son Heung-mon and Muller himself.
Don't let all those stars blind you from the rest of their rosters, though. Both teams will anchor their midfields with standout USMNT players (Vancouver's Sebastian Berhalter and Los Angeles midfielder Timmy Tillman).
With both teams following similar trajectories this season, this is the one semifinal that is too close to call.
Talk about opposites: San Diego is one of MLS' most possession-based teams while Minnesota barely needs any touches to clinch its results. San Diego got here by pressing every one of its opponents off the field; Minnesota got here by turning itself into an immovable block.
Which way will this game swing? It feels like pragmatic, defensive Minnesota has the edge. It would be an upset, for sure, but after dispatching Seattle in a three-game series despite failing to beat it in regular time, Minnesota is no stranger to those.
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