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Supercomputer makes ruthless Premier League relegation prediction
Southampton manager Ivan Juric during the Premier League match at St Mary's Stadium, Southampton. PA Images/Alamy Images

Supercomputer makes ruthless Premier League relegation prediction

As the Premier League season enters its decisive phase, the relegation battle is shaping up to be a brutal fight for survival. Opta’s latest supercomputer projections suggest three teams are staring at almost certain relegation, while another remains at slight risk of being dragged into the scrap.  

Through 10,000 simulations, Southampton has been handed a 100 percent probability of relegation. With just two wins from 27 games and a mere nine points, Ivan Jurić’s side sit 13 points from safety with 11 matches remaining. 

Even the most optimistic fans have accepted their fate: The Saints appear destined for the drop. Their struggles at both ends of the pitch, particularly their lack of attacking firepower, have made survival impossible.  

Leicester City’s survival hopes also hang by a thread. Despite sitting five points from safety on 17 points, their upcoming fixtures paint a grim picture. With Chelsea, Manchester United, Manchester City, Newcastle, Brighton and Liverpool looming in the next flurry of games, the Foxes have been given a 97.6 percent chance of relegation. 

Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side has lost 11 of its last 12 matches, and its defensive frailties have been repeatedly exposed. However, clashes with the Wolves, Southampton and Ipswich before the end of the season offer hope, but they will need a drastic turnaround in form.  

Ipswich, meanwhile, showed a fight in their narrow 3-2 loss against Manchester United on Wednesday, but it wasn’t enough to boost their chances of survival. The supercomputer gives them a 96.6 percent probability of relegation, meaning wins against Wolves and Leicester in the coming weeks could be crucial to their fading hopes. Their lack of experience at this level proves costly as they struggle in high-pressure moments.  

Despite sitting five points above the relegation zone in 17th, Wolves still have a 5.8 percent chance of going down. Vítor Pereira’s side have shown improvement, winning a 2-0 derby against Aston Villa on Feb. 1 before suffering a hard-fought 2-1 loss at Liverpool. 

A victory away at high-flying Bournemouth followed, but a 2-1 home defeat to Fulham on Tuesday was a stark reminder that the threat of relegation lingers. With a few tough fixtures ahead, Wolves must remain focused to avoid being dragged into the chaos below them.  

With time running out, the battle for survival is intensifying. While Southampton’s fate appears sealed, Leicester and Ipswich must defy the odds to avoid the drop. Wolves, though safer, cannot afford complacency as the season reaches its climax, with every point now carrying enormous weight.

Matt Evans

Matt Evans is a sports journalist from the United Kingdom, now based in Paris, France. He has covered various sports including basketball, soccer, boxing, MMA, and motorsports.  Over the past decade, Matt has focused heavily on the NBA and has worked with many established outlets on a variety of content

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