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ATP Adelaide Best Bets Including Paul vs Vukic
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

ATP 250 Adelaide quarterfinals

Vukic – Paul: 15.01.2026 05:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Aleksandar Vukic has won four of his last five matches. This week in Adelaide, Vukic qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in three tight sets. In the opening main draw round, Vukic upset Tsitsipas in two tiebreaks. In the second round, the Australian defeated Vavassori in straight sets as well.

Tommy Paul has lost three of his last five matches. In his opening match of the season in Brisbane, Paul lost to Mpetshi Perricard in three tight sets. Last season in Adelaide, the American lost to Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals in three tight sets. This week, Paul defeated Opelka in the opening match in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Vukic is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He served well throughout the week. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match tight easily.

That being said, Vukic covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Aleksandar Vukic +3.5 games handicap @1.90 @bet365

Humbert – Shevchenko: 15.01.2026 07:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Ugo Humbert has won three of his last five matches. This is his second appearance in Adelaide and his first appearance in the main draw here. In the opening round, the Frenchman defeated Atmane in straight sets as we predicted. Humbert defeated Griekspoor in the second round in straight sets.

Alexander Shevchenko has won four of his last five matches. This week in Adelaide, Shevchenko qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening round of the main draw, the Kazakh defeated Dzumhur in three tight sets. In the second round, Shevchenko upset Fucsovics in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Humbert is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better player overall than Shevchenko and leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings. We expect him to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Humbert covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert -3.5 games handicap @1.72 @bet365

Davidovich Fokina – Vacherot: 15.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Adelaide, the Spaniard outlasted Hijikata in the opening match in straight sets. He dominated from start to finish.

Valentin Vacherot has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, Vacherot lost to Korda in the opening round in straight sets. In the opening round, Vacherot defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the opening round, but turned it around. Kokkinakis withdrew from the second-round clash against Vacherot.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Vacherot is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Davidovich Fokina struggled on his serve against Hijikata. If he does so against Vacherot, we expect Vacherot to keep this match tight.

That being said, Vacherot covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Vacherot +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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